US House Of Representatives

Proud Of My “Progressive” Views Even More After A Magnificent Victory By Democrats, Restoring American Democracy!

Ronald 31 Comments

The morning after “the morning after” massive Democratic Party victories in both the US House Of Representatives and the US Senate, the State Governorships, and also state legislative and executive positions, this author and blogger is still absorbing the glory of what has happened.

I will be writing over the next days and weeks, in detail, about the magnificence of the political changes coming to America.

But today, I wish to reassert my pride and convictions, which I have held my entire life, influenced by my parents, relatives, and friends who have promoted, as I do, belief in tolerance, compassion, decency, morality, ethics, empathy, and conscience.

I taught for 53 years in college and university classrooms, and have given hundreds of lectures to adults and senior citizens, enunciating my views to audiences that have mostly shared my passionate defense of American Democracy and the Rule of Law.

I have had a conscience that has always affected my relationships with others, and I have never believed in discrimination against any group—whether gay, lesbian, or transgender; African Americans; Hispanic-Latino Americans; Asian Americans, whether East or South Asian; Muslim, Hindu or Buddhist Americans; along with Christians (Catholic or Protestant); Jewish Americans; and Women, who are more than half of the American population.

So just as my blog calls me a “Progressive Professor”, I am also proud to call myself a “Liberal”, and despite massive criticism by opponents, I also am proud to be “Woke”, concerned about the lives and hopes of all kinds of Americans.

I oppose vehemently, those who promote hatred, discrimination, prejudice, bias; and specifically racism, misogyny, antiSemitism, Islamophobia, and mistreatment of gay and transgender Americans.

I will continue, as long as I can, to enunciate these views, as I have done for the past 18 years, and in a few days, will have reached a total of 9,000 entries.

Blue “Tsunami” Is Likely For Senate Races On November 3!

Ronald 32 Comments

It seems to this blogger and author that we are on the cusp of a Blue “Tsunami”, which will dramatically change both houses of Congress.

The Senate, presently 45 Democrats and Two Independents (Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Angus King of Maine), and 53 Republicans, are highly likely to see a massive switch of seats.

I believe there will be a switch of ELEVEN Republican seats to the Democrats, including one new “Independent”, making the Senate 55 Democrats and 3 Independents, with Dan Osborn of Nebraska being the new “Independent”, as against the Republicans, who would have 42 seats.

Here are my predictions, and even if somewhat wrong, definitely, a Democratic majority seems certain.

First, Georgia with Jon Ossoff will win big, and the new Democratic candidates in Michigan (Abdul El-Sayed); Minnesota (Peggy Flanagan); and New Hampshire (Chris Pappas) will keep those seats Democratic.

But beyond that, 11 seats will change, 10 Democrats and 1 Independent who will align with the Democrats:

Maine–Troy Jackson
North Carolina–Roy Cooper
South Carolina–Dr Annie Andrews
Florida–Angie Nixon
Mississippi–Scott Colum
Texas–James Talarico
Ohio–Sherrod Brown
Kansas–Adam Hamilton
Iowa–Josh Turek
Nebraska–Dan Osborn (Independent)
Alaska–Mary Peltola

The most massive change (13 seats) occurred once in 1958 when Democrats won 13 seats in the Midterm Elections of that year, during the Presidency of Dwight D. Eisenhower.

Three times–1980 Republicans gained 12 seats with election of Ronald Reagan; 1946 Republicans gained 12 seats in Midterm Elections under Harry Truman; and 1932 Democrats gained 12 seats with election of Franklin D. Roosevelt.

There is also a slight possibility that Montana with Independent Seth Bodnar; Idaho with Independent Todd Achilles; Kentucky with Charles Booker; and South Dakota with Independent Brian Bengs, might have a shot at winning, but it seems highly unlikely.

We shall see how accurate my projections are in a few days.

Donald Trump Reaches An All Time Low In Public Opinion Polls With A Week Until The Midterm Elections Of 2026!

Ronald 34 Comments

President Donald Trump has managed to pursue policies in his first two years of his second term to accomplish the all time low in public opinion of any President during his time in office.

It is clear with greatly increased early voting that we will see a larger turnout in a midterm election than is traditional, as millions of Americans are angry:

over the inflation of gasoline and groceries and so much else,

the Iran War,

the tariffs,

the cruel deportation policies,

the massive corruption,

the clear mental deterioration of Trump,

AI and the data centers,

the racism and misogyny of Trump,

his horrendous Cabinet members,

and the sycophancy of Republicans in both houses of Congress, and so much more.

So vast numbers of Latino Americans,

Arab Americans,

young men and women voters,

highly educated voters,

urban voters,

and suburban voters

are clearly switching away from Trump and his party, even though large numbers of these groups voted Republican in 2024.

Every indication is that the Democratic Party will be the beneficiary of the anger and frustration toward Republicans and Donald Trump, particularly when Trump brags about his acquisition of his massive wealth in office, and his mocking of “Affordability”.

Also, it is typical and traditional that the party in the White House and in control of Congress traditionally loses seats or control in one or both houses of Congress in midterm elections, and it seems quite certain that we are on the way to a Democratic control of the House of Representatives, and very strong likelihood that will occur in the US Senate, as well.

Democratic House Of Representatives In 120th Congress (2027-2029) Assured!

Ronald Leave a comment

With one week to go, it is quite apparent that the Democratic Party will regain control of the House of Representatives, and by a clear margin, in the 120th Congress (2027-2029).

Most Democratic seats will be safe, whether the officeholders or their successor nominees.

But the Republican Party seems certain to lose seats around the country, including some in Texas, Florida, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, California, Iowa, and Ohio specifically.

There are also likely other losses in some other states.

So the broad prediction is that the Democratic Party will gain at least 20-25 seats, and possibly more.

If the total is at least 20, then it would be a 17 seat gain over the number needed for a majority, which would mean a likely total of 235 Democrats, 200 Republicans.

It could be slightly less, or a lot more, but it is quite certain that Hakeem Jeffries of New York will become the next Speaker of the House of Representatives, becoming the first African American Speaker, a major step forward.

The Battle For State Legislatures And State Governorships Will Have An Effect On The Presidential Election Of 2028

Ronald 4 Comments

The Midterm Elections of 2026 are not only over the composition of the US House of Representatives and the US Senate for the upcoming 120th Congress (2027-2029).

It is also the fierce battle for control of state legislatures and including the governorship, that will help to determine the upcoming Presidential Election of 2028, and the control of the future 121st Congress (2029-2031).

The Democrats have a good shot at winning unified control of seven state legislatures, and break up full Republican control of six state legislatures. This is what is called a “Trifecta”.

Democrats could gain full party control in Minnesota, Nevada, and Pennsylvania.

In four states–Alaska, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin–both the Republicans and Democrats are hoping to gain unified control of state government.

Republicans could lose full party control in six states–Georgia, Ohio, Iowa, Florida, New Hampshire, and Texas.

In Maine and Oregon, Democrats could lose full party control.

Finally, Supermajorities, where party control is two thirds or three fifths of members, who could override a governor’s veto, may end with Democratic gains in five states—Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Kansas, and North Carolina.

Women In The 119th Congress: Democrats Vs Republicans

Ronald 28 Comments

When one examines the number of women in the US House Of Representatives, it is overwhelming how there are so many more Democrats than Republicans in the chamber.

Presently, there are 97 women serving in the lower chamber who are Democrats, about 45 percent of the party membership; while the Republicans only have 32 women serving, 15 percent of the party membership.

The expectation is that in the 120th Congress, there will be more than 100 women Democrats.

In the Senate, presently, there are 16 women Democrats and 10 women Republicans.

There were 22 newly elected women in the present House membership—19 Democrats and 3 Republicans; and 3 newly elected Democratic women in the Senate.

So a grand total of 155 women are serving in the 119th Congress.

Very Likely To Have Election Of First Female Native American Governor And Two Female Native American Senators In Midterm Elections Of 2026

Ronald 1 Comment

It is becoming much more likely that the United States will see the election of the first female Native American Governor, and of the first two female Native American US Senators in American history, in the upcoming Midterm Elections of 2026 a month from now.

New Mexico is on the road to the likely election of Democrat Deb Haaland, former Secretary of the Interior under President Joe Biden, and also, earlier as a member of the House of Representatives, as the state’s Governor. She is a member of the Laguna Pueblo Tribe.

Alaska is on the road to the likely election of Democrat Mary Peltola, having been a former member of the House of Representatives, to the US Senate, and is a member of the Yup-ik Tribe of Alaska.

Minnesota is on the road to the likely election of Democrat Peggy Flanagan, having been the Lieutenant Governor of the state since 2019, to the US Senate, with her being of Ojibwe descent, and a citizen of the White Earth Nation.

Altogether, there are about a total of 355 Native Americans running for public office in local, state, and federal primary and general elections this year, with the vast majority running as Democrats, but also some Republicans seeking office or reelection.

Latest Polling Shows Likely Democratic Majority In Both Houses Of Congress After Midterm Elections In November

Ronald 85 Comments

It is well recognized that public opinion polls often are off the mark, but recognizing that, recent polls indicate a likely Democratic majority in both houses of Congress after the Midterm Elections of 2026 occur on November 3.

The belief is that the Democratic Party will end up having a majority within the range of 225-232 seats, when 218 is the majority for control.

And in the Senate, the projection is that there will be a 6 seat gain, and a majority of 53 out of 100 Senate seats, the opposite of the present situation.

And this does not include the likelihood of Dan Osborn, an Independent, winning in Nebraska, and is not counted in the 53 vote margin, so in theory, there could be 54 seats if Osborn cooperates with Democrats, which seems more likely than him cooperating with Republicans.

And with the last jobs report showing only 29,000 jobs were created in September, and the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.2 percent, it is likely that a “Blue Wave” is coming a month from tomorrow.

Seven Weeks To Midterm Elections, And Democrats Are Gaining A Growing Edge Over Republicans

Ronald 19 Comments

A New York Times-Siena poll, with seven weeks to the Midterm Elections of 2026, is demonstrating a widening lead in the strength of the Democratic Party, to gain control of both houses of Congress from the Republican Party.

Democratic candidates have a lead over Republicans of 51-43, as Americans have anger over the growing economic inflation, the Iran War, Tariffs, the ICE abuses taking place against immigrants with many being citizens, and the growing concern over the potential dangers of Artificial Intelligence (AI).

On a variety of issues, Democrats have substantial leads over Republicans, including:

Health Care D plus 24
Immigration D plus 7
The Deficit D plus 10
The Economy D plus 7
Cost of Living D plus 8
Foreign Wars D plus 7
Israeli-Palestinian Conflict D plus 11

Independent voters strongly prefer Democrats in this election cycle, with 57 percent planning to vote for Democratic candidates.

Even white voters without college degrees are now a majority against Donald Trump, and voters in general see Republicans as more extreme, elitist, and corrupt, and prefer Democrats on cultural and economic issues.

By an 11 point margin, voters prefer a Democratic Congress, rather than a Republican Congress, for the upcoming 120th Congress (2027-2029).

Younger voters now favor Democrats by 35 percentage points; Hispanic voters by 43 points; and Independent voters by 23 points.

Only 18 percent of Generation Z voters (under age 30), prefer Donald Trump.

Only 28 percent of voters approve of Trump’s handling of the economy, while the massive number of 71 percent disapprove.

So the political situation for Democrats looks very promising, and one must remember that the party in the White House traditionally loses seats, and often control of Congress, in midterm elections.

Historically, Midterm Elections Favor Party Opposing The President!!

Ronald 107 Comments

With the Midterm Congressional Elections of 2026 now two months away, the odds look good for Democrats to regain control of the House of Representatives and the US Senate under Republican President Donald Trump.

The Republicans are trying to argue that such will not happen, but history tells us this is a normal scenario throughout most of history, particularly since 1946, the first midterm after World War II.

The only times that this scenario did not occur was in 1998 under Bill Clinton, and 2002 under George W. Bush.

In 1998, the Democrats actually gained 4 seats in the House, and kept the 45 seats they had in the Senate, so the Republicans actually gained nothing in that election year, although they continued to have control of both houses of Congress.

In 2002, with September 11 being an influential factor, the Republican Party actually gained 8 seats in the House, and 2 seats in the Senate, therefore actually gaining control of the upper chamber after being in the minority previously.

But otherwise, the party out of power in Congress ended up gaining control in 1946, with Republicans gaining control of both houses of Congress under Harry Truman, with Democrats losing 54 seats in the House and 10 in the Senate.

In 1950, Truman’s Democratic Party kept control of Congress, but lost 28 seats in the House and 5 seats in the Senate.

Under Dwight D. Eisenhower in 1954, the Republicans lost control of both houses of Congress, which they had won in 1952, losing 18 seats in the House and 2 seats in the Senate.

In 1958, Eisenhower saw a loss of 48 seats in the House and 12 seats in the Senate.

In 1962, in the midst of the Cuban Missile Crisis, the Democrats lost 4 seats in the House of Representatives, but gained 4 seats in the US Senate.

In 1966, in the midst of the Vietnam War under Lyndon B. Johnson, the Democrats lost 47 seats in the House, and 3 seats in the Senate, but still had massive margins.

Under Richard Nixon, in 1970, 12 Republican seats were lost in the House, but 2 seats were gained in the Senate.

Under Gerald Ford in 1974, in the midst of the Watergate Scandal and the resignation of Richard Nixon, the Republicans lost 48 seats in the House and 4 seats in the Senate.

Under Jimmy Carter in 1978, Democrats lost 15 seats in the House and 2 seats in the Senate, but retained control of both houses of Congress.

Under Ronald Reagan in 1982, Republicans lost 26 seats in the House and no seats in the Senate. Then, in 1986, Republicans lost 5 seats in the House, and lost 8 seats in the Senate, losing control of that chamber it had gained in 1980.

Under George H. W. Bush in 1990,, the Republicans lost 8 seats in the House and 1 seat in the Senate.

Under Bill Clinton in 1994, the Democrats lost control of both houses as part of the “Republican Revolution”, losing 54 seats in the House and 9 seats in the Senate. Then, in 1998, a surprise as Democrats gained 4 seats in the House and no change in the Senate, while the Republicans kept control.

Under George W. Bush in 2002, after September 11, the Republicans gained 8 seats in the House and two seats in the Senate, gaining the majority in the Senate. But in 2006, Republicans lost control of both houses of Congress, losing 32 seats in the House and 6 seats in the Senate.

Under Barack Obama in 2010, the Democrats lost the massive number of 63 seats in the House, and 6 in the Senate, losing control of the House to the Republicans. In 2014, the Democrats lost 13 seats in the House and 9 seats in the Senate, losing control of the Senate to the Republicans.

Under Donald Trump’s first term, in 2018, the Republicans lost control of the House, losing 41 seats, but gained two seats in the Senate, and retained the majority in the Senate.

Finally, under Joe Biden in 2022, Democrats lost control of the House by 9 seats, but gained one in the Senate, and kept control.

In 2026, two months from now, we will see what transpires.

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