Republican Party

Republican Majority In House Of Representatives Disintegrating!

California–Kevin Kiley
Texas–Wesley Hunt
Texas–Dan Crenshaw
Texas–Tony Gonzalez
South Carolina–Nancy Mace

All of the above Republican members of the House of Representatives, except possibly Kiley, will be leaving at the end of 2026,

as Hunt lost the Senate primary;

Crenshaw lost his House primary;

Gonzalez, in a runoff race for his seat announced he would not run for reelection, due to his sex scandal with an aide who later committed suicide;

and Mace running for the South Carolina gubernatorial nomination.

Kiley has declared himself an Independent, although he will continue to caucus with Republicans for the remainder of his term this year, and with the strong likelihood that he will lose his seat due to California redistricting.

If these members are not present often for the remainder of this session, Speaker Mike Johnson could lose control of the majority, and the possibility of Hakeem Jeffries and the Democrats gaining control, is growing!

Emergence Of Anti Iran War MAGA Republicans Could Affect Midterm Elections Of 2026, And Presidential Election Of 2028!

Now that the United States is in Week Two of the Iran War, and with the son of the late Ayatollah being annointed his successor, it seems clear that America is on the road to a long, massive, expensive, disastrous intervention in the Middle East, without any certainty of success, similar to the Iraq War and the Afghanistan War.

And opposition is starting to emerge, from many so called MAGA Republicans, against the military intervention, some of it openly, and some of it behind the scenes.

Openly critical individuals this early include:

Tucker Carlson
Steve Bannon
Marjorie Taylor Greene, former Congresswoman from Georgia
Thomas Massie, Congressman from Kentucky
Rand Paul, Senator from Kentucky

Behind the scenes, based on past views about military intervention, and support of “isolationism” expressed, would include the following:

Vice President JD Vance
Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard

The latter two are being very quiet at this point, but their past record of viewpoints clashes with what Donald Trump, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, and apparently, Secretary of State Marco Rubio are promoting.

So there could be a battle brewing for the future of the Republican Party, based on what happens in the midterms, and as the Republican Party starts to look at its future direction.

It is hard to imagine Vance openly breaking with his party and his “boss”, the President of the United States, but it is perceived by many that had Vice President Kamala Harris expressed more differences with her “boss”, Joe Biden, possibly, the result in the Presidential Election of 2024 might have been different.

If Vance was to “break” with Trump, he still would be Vice President, but it would encourage Marco Rubio, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida, and others to challenge him for the Presidential nomination in 2028.

Of course, IF Vance became President by succession, and therefore, would be a sitting President, it would be much more difficult for a rebellion by MAGA Republicans to succeed against him.

Most certainly, the future of the Republican Party with the upcoming Presidential Election of 2028, is very much a fluid situation, and very difficult to project what will occur down the road!

Victory Of James Talarico An Inspiring Moment For Democrats!

The major victory of Texas State Representative James Talarico over Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett in the US Senate primary is an inspiring moment for Democrats.

Talarico comes across as an exciting, dynamic young man, who has a real shot at winning the Texas Senate race in November, which would make him the first elected Senate Democrat from Texas since Lloyd Bentsen won a fourth term in 1988, and the first in his specific Senate seat since Lyndon B. Johnson became Vice President under John F. Kennedy in 1961.

A likely runoff between Senator John Cornyn and Texas State Attorney General Ken Paxton is in the offing, after each won a bit more than 40 percent of the primary vote, with Donald Trump expected to endorse Cornyn, but Paxton expected to defy Trump and continue to run for the next round in late May.

If that is what occurs,it will certainly help Talarico with his inspiring “true” compassionate Christian message, along with his charisma and youth at age 37 later this year, against the “Old” alternatives, with Cornyn 74 (twice the age of Talarico) and Paxton being 63, and burdened by scandals and controversy, but favored by MAGA Republican loyalists over Cornyn.

One senses that Talarico has momentum, and a real chance to be the next Senator from Texas in 2027, and if he accomplishes that, one can expect he would be heard from down the road in a future Presidential campaign, such as 2036, when he would be 47, with ten years in the US Senate, and not having a Senate race, as he would in 2032!

Major Political Split Emerging Regarding US-Israel War On Iran

The decision of Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu to wage war on Iran is causing a major political split.

The fact that Trump and his Cabinet did not consult with Congress up front and ask for backing through the War Powers Act of 1973;

that Trump has lied about the so called “imminent” threat Iran presented to American national security;

that Trump and his Cabinet chose not to be interviewed by news media this weekend after the first day of military action;

that Trump has totally reversed his former stand against getting involved in military interventions as a critic of the Iraq and Afghanistan Wars in the past;

that anger is rising among the general public, as early polls show only 25 percent of those polled support the intervention;

that Trump seemed not to have much empathy about the loss of life of military personnel, when he personally avoided military service by claiming “bone spurs”;

all this and more is creating a major political crisis that is unlikely to go away anytime soon, and the prospect of greatly increased oil prices as a result of the widening Middle East War, with other nations in the area being drawn into it, adds to the complicated crisis.

Already, within his party, Trump has angered Kentucky Senator Rand Paul; Kentucky Congressman Thomas Massie; former Georgia Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene who was a MAGA supporter, and also, commentator Tucker Carlson, and this is just the beginning, in less than 48 hours after the war has begun.

At the same time, while most Democrats are opposed to the war, some are supportive, causing a split in that political party as well, including

Senator John Fetterman of Pennsylvania
Congressman Jared Moskowitz of Florida
Congressman Tom Suozzi of New York
Congressman Greg Landsman of Ohio
Congressman Henry Cuellar of Texas

The fact that some Democrats are supportive of the war means when and if a War Powers Resolution comes up for a vote, it could undermine the ability to gain a majority of support for such action.

Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth made clear on Monday morning, the third day of the war, that there would be no holding back on the war effort, creating a likely constitutional crisis as Donald Trump and company pursue their goals in league with Israel, despite the fact that diplomacy was in process, and had not been given a full chance to work.

So the image of Donald Trump, “The Dove”, which caused many MAGA Republicans in the voting population to support him in 2024, is in tatters.

A major political division is likely to grow wider as the war continues, without any assurance of avoiding disarray in an area of the world notable for instability.

That only complicates the issue of what will happen politically in the Midterm Elections of 2026 and the Presidential Election of 2028.

And the announcement by Prime Minister Keir Starmer of the United Kingdom that the British government is not in support of the war, and believe in a negotiated settlement, is a stunning blow to the mission pursued by Trump and Netanyahu. It is highly unusual, that our closest ally in Europe would come out openly in the House of Commons and criticize and refuse support of the war effort.

Donald Trump has made clear in his press conference that there is the possibility of ground troops being sent into combat in the Middle East if that is seen as necessary.

So it seems potentially possible that America could be engaging in what will become a major long term conflict, similar to what occurred in Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq, further dividing and complicating American politics in the near term and long term!

A Massive Crisis As US And Israel Wage War On Iran, Throwing Mideast Into Chaos!

What seemed evident has occurred, as Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel have this morning waged war on Iran, throwing the Mideast into chaos, and endangering stability of not only that area, but also the entire world, and also, endangering American national security itself!

Negotiations were going on with Iran, which was having discussions with Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, neither officially in the government, to prevent them from trying to develop nuclear power that could, in theory, but without substance, someday lead to nuclear weapons. So what is clear is that “Regime Change” is the goal of this military intervention.

But all of a sudden, war is waged in the midst of the negotiations, and it seems clear it is designed to take pressure off Donald Trump regarding the “Epstein Files”, with the growing indication that Trump engaged in rape and abuse of underage girls over the years with the support of the despicable Jeffrey Epstein and his accomplice, Ghislaine Maxwell.

Trump did not go to Congress to gain backing for what he is doing, violating the War Powers Act, and he has demonstrated that his earlier professed “isolationist” views on foreign policy in his first term, have now been obliterated as he has proved to be an extreme aggressor in his year and more of his second term, including:

removing Nicolas Maduro of Venezuela without allowing opposition leaders to replace him;

threatened seizure of Greenland from Denmark;

has spoken of retaking the Panama Canal from Panama despite the Panama Canal Treaty that gave it back to Panama in the year 2000;

talked about Canada becoming the “51st State”;

has waged tariff wars against all nations, and in so doing, alienated our NATO allies and our Asian allies;

and has been belligerent toward international organizations, including the United Nations, but also so many other groups.

This development can be seen as promoting the goal of Trump to rally American “patriots” in support, and therefore, allow him to insure that his Republican Party, with the additional plan for action to interfere in the Midterm Elections of 2026, insure that the Democratic Party would be unable to gain control of either house of Congress. That would guarantee that Trump’s determination to control absolute power escalates ever more.

What is perfectly clear is that the war waged on Iran will not resolve itself in the short term, will not be equivalent of a Venezuela situation, and likely will require combat troops in the Middle East once again, at potential great cost of life on all sides including Americans, and will be a massive budget buster, harming our long range economic outlook.

So what millions of Americans did by electing Donald Trump, demonstrates how short sighted, lacking in knowledge, and often pure ignorance they were. So the long term battle for America for the long term, the battle for democracy and the rule of law, suffers ever further!

The Age Issue In Congress

A total of 24 members of Congress in 2026 are over the age of 80, and 13 of them are planning to remain in Congress, if the voters agree in this upcoming Midterm Election of 2026.

Among those leaving are:

Nancy Pelosi of California, former Democratic Speaker of the House of Representatives, age 85
Steny Hoyer of Maryland, former Democratic House Majority Leader, age 86
Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, former Republican Senate Majority Leader, age 84
Dick Durbin of Illinois, Senate Democratic Whip, age 81

Among those 80 or over who are remaining in Congress, and are running for reelection are:

James Clyburn of South Carolina, former Democratic House Whip, age 85
Virginia Foxx of North Carolina, Republican Congresswoman, age 82
Maxine Waters of California, Democratic Congresswoman, age 87
Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Democratic Senator, age 84
Chuck Grassley of Iowa, Republican Senate President Pro Tempore, age 92
Jim Risch of Idaho, Republican Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman, age 82
Angus King of Maine, Independent Senator, age 82
Richard Blumenthal of Connecticut, Democratic Senator, age 80
Ed Markey of Massachusetts, Democratic Senator, age 80

While age alone should not be the only factor in judging who should be in Congress at an advanced age, it is perceived that Congress, overall, is out of touch with the vast number of Americans of younger generations!

More Turnover In Congress As Lawmakers Choose To Leave!

With the Midterm Elections 2026 about eight months away, there is more massive turnover than has been seen in the past.

Out of the 535 members of Congress in both houses, an amazing total of 68, about one of every eight members, are choosing to leave.

In the US Senate, eight members are retiring, while four others are running to be their states’ governors. Four Democrats and four Republicans are leaving for retirement, while two Democrats and two Republicans are running for governor.

In the House of Representatives, 50 members are leaving, with retirements being 13 Democrats and 10 Republicans for a total of 23, while 27 others (8 Democrats and 19 Republicans) are running for Governor or Senator).

Many of those retiring are leaving due to their ages, but others because of disillusionment as to what Congress can accomplish in a divided nation, which is more so than since the 1960s.

As State Of The Union Address Occurs, Donald Trump’s Ratings Are Rapidly In Decline!

President Donald Trump is about to give his State of the Union Address to a joint session of Congress this Tuesday, February 24, just as public opinion ratings demonstrate that he is rapidly declining in support among many voter groups.

As it is, his ratings have been, depending on the poll, as low as 36 percent positive, and at best 40 percent.

The issues of the economy (Affordability), the Epstein Files Scandal, the horrors of ICE, the Health Care cuts, and now, the Supreme Court rejection of his tariffs, are all weighing on him, as he lashes out at his critics, and has personally attacked the Justices who rejected his tariffs, particularly two of his own appointments—Neil Gorsuch and Amy Coney Barrett—along with Chief Justice John Roberts.

Also, Trump’s aggressive foreign policy is also alienating many voters, and his unstable rants and attacks on his critics alarm many Americans.

Various groups that made the mistake to support him in the Presidential Election of 2024 are turning strongly against him.

This includes:

White Women
Latinos
Working Class Non White Voters
Young Men
College Educated Suburban Voters

The strong Democratic gains in the off year elections in November 2025, and the gaining of seats in state legislatures and other offices in areas traditionally Republican in special elections, is also an alarm bell in the night for the upcoming Midterm Elections of 2026.

Even with mid decade redistricting occurring in Texas and elsewhere at Donald Trump’s insistence, the likelihood of Democrats taking back the House of Representatives majority, and even having a growing possibility of regaining the Senate majority, is seen as strong.

We are seeing Americans alarmed at the threat of interference by the Trump Administration on the issue of the right to vote, and attempts to restrict those who can vote.

This includes the fear that ICE might have agents at voting locations, which would be a massive threat designed to intimidate voters.

Kentucky Becomes A “Wild Card” In Opposition To Donald Trump

Who would think that the state of Kentucky, the birthplace of Abraham Lincoln, would become a “Wild Card” in opposition to Donald Trump’s agenda in various ways?

This is the state of Senator Rand Paul, a well known libertarian, who has expressed strong disagreement with Donald Trump’s agenda in a number of ways.

It is the state of Congressman Thomas Massie, who has become a thorn in the side of Trump on a number of issues, most notably on exposing the Jeffrey Epstein scandal.

It is the state of former Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, who has done such damage in so many ways, but now in his last years in the Senate, has become an open critic of Trump on a number of matters.

And it is the state of Democratic Governor Andy Beshear, who has managed to keep the Governorship for two terms, and has shown courage and principle in fighting the dominant Republican Party in his state.

Texas Senate Primary On March 3 A Crucial Moment For Both Political Parties

What may be the most crucial Senate race of all in 2026 is the Texas race, where Republican Senator John Cornyn is being seriously challenged by Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and African American Congressman Wesley Hunt; and where Democratic African American Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett is being challenged by Texas State Representative James Talarico, with the upcoming primary to be on March 3, less than a month from today, and if a runoff is needed, on May 26.

Cornyn has been in the Senate since 2002, and is now 74 years old, and has held leadership positions in the Senate, including Senate Republican Whip from 2013-2019. Not considered “Conservative Enough”, he is facing a tough intraparty battle with Ken Paxton, embattled and hardline MAGA conservative often praised by President Donald Trump, although so far, Trump has remained neutral in this intraparty battle.

Paxton has been shown to be corrupt in his dealings and rhetoric, and was impeached by the Texas House Republicans, although found not guilty by the Texas Senate Republicans. He is considered highly corrupt and outrageous in utterances, and also was revealed to be cheating on his wife, who now has filed for divorce.

Congressman Wesley Hunt, 20 years younger than Paxton, and thirty years younger than Cornyn, is a “wild card” in the primary race. A military veteran who graduated from West Point (the US Military Academy), and remained in the military for eight years, he would represent a modernization of the Republican Party in Texas, and could help decide whether Cornyn or Paxton win the nomination, and with an outside chance with three candidates, that he could pull off an upset. If no candidate gains a majority in the primary, there will be a runoff.

A major “revolution” in Texas Republican politics would be if, somehow, Hunt could win over both Cornyn and Paxton, and even more so, if he faced Jasmine Crockett, making for two young African American politicians with vastly different viewpoints as the finalists in the Senate race. However, if Texas State Representative James Talarico, who is only 36, was to run against Hunt, that would also be a major “revolution” in Texas politics.

The “youth” movement would be served by Hunt and Crockett, both born in 1981, and Talarico, born in 1989, rather than the old, stodgy leadership of Cornyn, or the corrupt leadership of Paxton.

The thought at the moment is that if Paxton wins the Republican nomination, it would make it easier for Crockett or Talarico to win the Senate seat, while if Cornyn won the nomination, he would have an edge over either of them.

But Talarico has done well in public opinion polls, and could be the most exciting Senate candidate of the 2026 Senate cycle, if he can triumph over Crockett.

If either Crockett or Talarico can win the Senate race, it would be a sign of a likely takeover of the Senate majority by the Democratic party.