Michigan

Democrats Have Major Advantages In Upcoming Presidential Election Of 2028!

Ronald 51 Comments

As a result of the “Blue Tsunami” that occurred on Election Day 2026, the Democratic Party has major advantages in the upcoming Presidential Electlon of 2028.

We start off with the 19 states and DC won by Kamala Harris in 2024, a total of 226 electoral votes. These states in New England, the Northeast, the Midwest, the Southwest, and the Pacific Coast and Hawaii, are certain to remain Democratic, as they are the stronghold of the Democratic Party in many past elections. One electoral vote in Maine, which allows division of their electoral votes, was lost in 2024, but the total as it was that year was 226 electoral votes.

Then, a large group of states (11) that were Republican in 2024, have switched massively to the Democrats.

Texas is the big “catch”, having moved away dramatically from Republicans, and electing Democrats to all state executive positions including the Governorship, along with a Democratic Senator and a number of Democratic House members being elected to the Congress.

So the odds are that if Texas follows the trend they are now on, their 40 electoral votes would add to the 226 from 2024, making the total 266, just four electoral votes from winning the Presidency, with or without the majority of the popular vote.

Add just one of the states who switched from Republican to Democrat outside of Texas, and it would be enough to gain 270 electoral votes, the number needed to win, meaning a total of 21 states, because of Texas being added to the Democratic states.

This includes the following ten additional states:

Pennsylvania 19 electoral votes
Ohio 17 electoral votes
North Carolina 16 electoral votes
Georgia 16 electoral votes
Michigan 15 electoral votes
Arizona 11 electoral votes
Wisconsin 10 electoral votes
Nevada 6 electoral votes
Iowa 6 electoral votes
Kansas 6 electoral votes

These ten states all elected Democrats for Governor, with Ohio, North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada, Iowa, and Kansas, all switching from Republican state control as a result of the midterm election.

If Texas goes Democratic with its 40 electoral votes, then at the least, either Iowa, Kansas, or Nevada, all with 6 electoral votes, would be enough to reach the magic number of 270 electoral votes.

If Texas goes back to the Republicans, only a minimum of 44 electoral votes need to be won by the Democrats, which means if Pennsylvania (19), Ohio (17), and North Carolina or Georgia (both 16) went to the Democrats, that would be enough to gain 270 electoral votes, and the Presidency.

And the other six states listed, if they combined, they would reach exactly the number of 54, 10 more than needed, so one could leave out Wisconsin in theory, to win 270 electoral votes.

If all 10 states above AND Texas went to the Democrats in 2028, which is certainly possible, the grand total of the electoral vote, with a total of 30 states and DC, would be 388 electoral votes, with Republicans winning 20 states and 150 electoral votes.

So at this time, two years ahead of the Presidential Election of 2028, one could conclude that the Democrats have a 90 percent chance of electing the next President of the United States.

The Battle For State Legislatures And State Governorships Will Have An Effect On The Presidential Election Of 2028

Ronald 4 Comments

The Midterm Elections of 2026 are not only over the composition of the US House of Representatives and the US Senate for the upcoming 120th Congress (2027-2029).

It is also the fierce battle for control of state legislatures and including the governorship, that will help to determine the upcoming Presidential Election of 2028, and the control of the future 121st Congress (2029-2031).

The Democrats have a good shot at winning unified control of seven state legislatures, and break up full Republican control of six state legislatures. This is what is called a “Trifecta”.

Democrats could gain full party control in Minnesota, Nevada, and Pennsylvania.

In four states–Alaska, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin–both the Republicans and Democrats are hoping to gain unified control of state government.

Republicans could lose full party control in six states–Georgia, Ohio, Iowa, Florida, New Hampshire, and Texas.

In Maine and Oregon, Democrats could lose full party control.

Finally, Supermajorities, where party control is two thirds or three fifths of members, who could override a governor’s veto, may end with Democratic gains in five states—Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Kansas, and North Carolina.

2028 Presidential Primaries Being Planned By Democratic Party: Battle Of 12 States For First Four Slots!

Ronald Leave a comment

With 2026 upon us, the Democratic Party is now considering which states to put in the forefront as “early” states to hold primaries or caucuses early in 2028 for the Presidential nomination.

Four states will be selected by the Democratic National Committee from a total of 12 states from four regions competing.

East—New Hampshire, Delaware

South—Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Tennessee

Midwest—Michigan, Illinois, Iowa

West—Nevada, New Mexico

In the past, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Iowa, and Nevada have been favored as “early” state contests for delegates.

However, this author and blogger, after much consideration, has the view that the four states that should go first, are:

New Hampshire
Virginia
Michigan
New Mexico

A Truly Divided Nation With No Sign Of Compromise!

Ronald 61 Comments

As America votes in off year elections in just a few states, the recognition is that America is a truly divided nation with no sign of compromise, as we move toward the commemoration of the 250th anniversary of the American Republic, with every indication of Fascist authoritarianism being dominant under Donald Trump!

At present, there are 25 Trump states and 19 Anti Trump states, with only six states really competitive, both in support or opposition to Trump, and in percentages of seats in the House of Representatives.

In the 25 Trump states, 22 of them have Republican governors, and all of the state legislatures and Senate seats, as well.

Only six states really remain “competitive”—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Nevada, a total of 77 Electoral College votes.

In Electoral Votes, the Democrats have 226 from the 19 Anti Trump states and the District of Columbia. The 25 Trump states have 235 electoral votes.

Also, Nebraska and Maine have divided electoral votes, with the Second District of Nebraska often having one electoral vote going to Democrats and the Second District of Maine often having one electoral vote going to Republicans, so they balance each other.

The states that have strongly gone Republican, while formerly competitive, are Texas, Florida, Ohio, and North Carolina.

With Texas and Florida still gaining population growth, the likelihood is that both states will have more electoral votes after reapportionment in 2032, which makes the Democrats facing a massive challenge in future elections.

And California, Illinois, and New York are likely to lose Electoral votes, necessitating the need for Democrats to win the six “swing states” that have been in play, but won recently by Republicans, as in 2024!

Horrible Potential Republican Governors In 2026 Midterm Elections!

Ronald 1 Comment

With the midterm 2026 State Gubernatorial Elections just a bit more than a year away, there is the potential for a group of horrible individuals running for the Governorship in Republican states winning executive control of their state governments.

These would include the following:

Alabama Senator Tommy Tuberville

Arizona Congressman Andy Biggs

Florida Congressman Byron Donalds

Michigan Congressman John James

New York Congresswoman Elise Stefanik

Ohio entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy

South Carolina Congresswoman Nancy Mace

Tennessee Senator Marsha Blackburn

All eight of these individuals are highly controversial, overtly loyal to Donald Trump, and would promote the MAGA concept of the Republican Party in state government.

The odds at this moment, more than a year ahead of the elections, is that Tuberville, Donalds, Ramaswamy, Mace, and Blackburn would be odds on favorites to become their states’ governors, while Biggs, James, and Stefanik have a tougher battle ahead, with their states presently having Democratic Governors.

Political Polarization At Worst Point In Modern American History!

Ronald 1 Comment

Political polarization is at its worst point in modern American history under the Presidency of Donald Trump.

Not only is the House of Representatives with its tightest balance in recent times, with only a few seats edge for Republicans, the precise reason for the Texas mid decade Gerrymandering promoted by Donald Trump.

It is also the reality that in the state governments across the nation, there are a total of 41 states with single party control, meaning the Governorship, and majorities in both houses of the state legislature.

26 states are under Republican control, and 15 states under Democratic control, what is termed as “trifectas”.

The only states that are not in one or the other trifecta are:

New Hampshire
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Michigan
Wisconsin
Minnesota
Arizona
Nevada
Alaska

The following states have Democratic Governors and Republican majority legislatures:

Pennsylvania
North Carolina
Kentucky
Wisconsin
Kansas
Arizona

The following states have Republican Governors and Democratic majority legislatures:

Nevada
Vermont
Virginia

The Role Of Women Likely To Decide Presidential Election Of 2024!

admin 23 Comments

This author and blogger writes as Election Day has begun!

A final thought: The role of Women Voters seems likely to decide the Presidential Election of 2024.

There are more women voters than male voters, and a major gender gap has opened, according to numerous surveys.

Even in Iowa, considered a “red” state, the Des Moines Register poll surprises everyone, showing that Kamala Harris has a three point lead, primarily based on Independent Women and Women over the age of 65.

If this poll, which has been very accurate over many years, proves to be accurate, and Iowa, with its 6 electoral votes goes to Kamala Harris, it would insure a Democratic victory, as it would be sign that nearby states, including Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, would likely have similar results!

“The October Surprise” Is With Us! Final Projection On Electoral Vote Result On November 5!

admin 19 Comments

“The October Surprise”, the argument that an event in October has influenced Presidential elections, has occurred again, and this time, it seems clear that it will destroy the Donald Trump campaign!

Not only the horrendous, despicable “joke” by comedian Tony Hinchcliffe about Puerto Ricans at the Madison Square Garden rally on Sunday, but many of the other speakers who ranted and raved against African Americans and Jews, and promoted a white supremacy America with their hatred, all created what will bring down Donald Trump a week from today!

Clearly, the Republican Party is advocating a white Christian supremacist party and future, and Americans who do not fit into that mold can clearly see the threats and the danger ahead.

So watch as this disaster, that did not have to be, but demonstrates what Donald Trump is all about, will lead to his defeat, and likely by a bigger margin than one might think!

This blogger is now going out on a limb that Kamala Harris will carry the states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia and Nevada, and the second district of Nebraska, and will have 309 electoral votes to Trump’s 229 electoral votes. The only “swing state” Trump will win is Arizona!

And Harris will have a bigger popular vote margin than Joe Biden’s 7 million vote lead in 2020!

Commentary by readers is welcome on this projection, and we shall see how accurate I am!

Liz Cheney Joining Harris In Campaigning In “Blue Wall” States On Monday

admin 15 Comments

Former Wyoming Congresswoman Liz Cheney has been courageous in deciding to endorse Kamala Harris for President against Donald Trump, having given up her Congressional seat in the process.

And now, after having held an endorsement rally in Ripon, Wisconsin more than two weeks ago, she is now joining Harris today, Monday, October 21, in joint campaign rallies in the “Blue Wall” states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, all states that if Harris can win them, along with the Second District of Nebraska, will be enough to give her the electoral votes needed for victory on November 5.

Many other Republicans have also appeared at rallies in support of Harris, most notably former Illinois Congressman Adam Kinziger.

So the two Republicans on the January 6 House Committee will go down in history as the most courageous and influential Republicans above many others of lesser renown who have shown principle over ambition, and will be well regarded in reputation in the long run of history!

Why Kamala Harris Is Likely On The Road To Victory

admin 10 Comments

Although the polls are very close in the Presidential Election race of 2024, all signs are good that Kamala Harris is likely on the road to occupying the Oval Office as the 47th President of the United States after the November 5 election date.

Harris is ahead in most polls in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona and Nevada, which if true, would give her a 287-251 Electoral College victory, also including the Second District in Nebraska.

There is no doubt that Harris will easily win the popular vote, and possibly by more than the 7 plus million vote victory of Joe Biden in 2020.

Additionally, Harris is ahead in the following categories:

Urban voters
Suburban voters
College Educated Voters
Women Voters
African American Voters
Latino Voters
Jewish Voters
Asian American Voters
Voters 18-29 Years of Age
Voters Over Age 50
Labor Union Voters
Gay And Lesbian Voters

Of course, being ahead does not mean that the percentages of each voter category are what they have been in the past, or that one would think they should be, so there is plenty of work ahead in the next 25 days to convince voters in all of the above categories to support Kamala Harris.

Donald Trump will have the edge with:

Rural Voters
Non College Educated Voters
White Male Voters
Wealthy Voters
30-50 Years of Age Voters
Religious Voters

It is clear that there are still those Americans who have not made up their minds, so non stop campaigning is essential, as this election is crucial to the survival of American democracy, the rule of law, and maintaining the US Constitution!