The Midterm Elections of 2026 are not only over the composition of the US House of Representatives and the US Senate for the upcoming 120th Congress (2027-2029).
It is also the fierce battle for control of state legislatures and including the governorship, that will help to determine the upcoming Presidential Election of 2028, and the control of the future 121st Congress (2029-2031).
The Democrats have a good shot at winning unified control of seven state legislatures, and break up full Republican control of six state legislatures. This is what is called a “Trifecta”.
Democrats could gain full party control in Minnesota, Nevada, and Pennsylvania.
In four states–Alaska, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin–both the Republicans and Democrats are hoping to gain unified control of state government.
Republicans could lose full party control in six states–Georgia, Ohio, Iowa, Florida, New Hampshire, and Texas.
In Maine and Oregon, Democrats could lose full party control.
Finally, Supermajorities, where party control is two thirds or three fifths of members, who could override a governor’s veto, may end with Democratic gains in five states—Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Kansas, and North Carolina.