Public Opinion Polls

Electoral College Majority For Obama Edges Closer By The Day

Ronald 14 Comments

The standard belief has been that Barack Obama has 237 electoral votes, and Mitt Romney has 191 electoral votes.

But now, two states have been “awarded”, meaning it is felt that each candidate has gained one of them–Nevada with six electoral votes for Obama, and North Carolina with 15 electoral votes for Romney.

So one can now say that the electoral vote total is 243 for Obama and 206 for Romney, with seven states still in play.

But, this author feels it is closer than that to 270 electoral votes for Obama.

Wisconsin seems certain for Obama, and New Hampshire also seems likely, so if they are counted, with 10 and 4 electoral votes, respectively, Obama would have 257 electoral votes, only 13 short of the 270 needed to win the Presidency!

So the remaining battlegrounds are Florida, Virginia, Ohio, Iowa, and Colorado, and even Iowa with six electoral votes seems likely Obama territory, so imagine adding Iowa, and we have 263 electoral votes, seven short of the number needed!

Every indication is that, despite supposedly close polls in percentage of popular votes, the tide is clearly in Obama’s camp, and don’t be surprised if he wins ALL of the remaining states—Ohio, Colorado, Virginia and Florida, in that order of probability!

The Discomfort Of Mitt Romney With The Outside World: A Danger For America’s Future

Ronald 5 Comments

Mitt Romney showed great discomfort and awkwardness in his performance in the Foreign Policy debate held last night in Boca Raton, Florida.

He made it clear that he does not know the geography of the Middle East, when he said Syria was Iran’s connection to the Mediterranean Sea, forgetting or not knowing that Iraq lies between Iran and Syria.

He talked of Iran as if it was Arab, when Iran is Persian, an unbelievable misunderstanding.

He has talked of military action against Iran and Syria in the past, but now backed off on that.

He has made trade threats against China, even though he has invested in Chinese trade through Bain Capital.

He has called Russia the leading geopolitical threat to America, which brings back memories of the Cold War with the Soviet Union, which ended 20 years ago.

In a poll of 21 nations, public opinion polls demonstrate that all of them massively prefer Barack Obama as America’s leader for the next four years, as they feel uneasy about the lack of knowledge and interest of Mitt Romney in their nations’ futures, Ironically, only Pakistan prefers Romney, maybe due to the raid into Pakistan that gained the end of the life of Osama Bin Laden.

The outside world knows that Barack Obama, with the assistance of Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, and others, has shown respect and concern for their nations, and has become overwhelmingly popular and respected, a great relief from the low esteem felt in other nations toward George W. Bush.

Mitt Romney only sees the outside world as a profit motive, and has never shown interest in anyplace except as one to make money, or proselytize his Mormon faith, as in France in the late 1960s, and yet it is France that has the highest support for Barack Obama of any of the 20 nations that prefer that Obama be elected to a second term.

We cannot afford an ignorant, poorly informed, and less than motivated person to become our President, as he could, too easily, be manipulated by foreign policy extremists who want new wars to advance their agenda of American dominance and promotion of corporate interests. Mitt Romney is the wrong person to be our Commander in Chief in the 21st century, and having a potential Vice President, Paul Ryan, who has no greater grasp or interest in foreign policy than he has, makes that conclusion even more powerful!

Greatest Line Of Debate–Romney Policies Representing The Past On Foreign, Social And Economic Policies!

Ronald 2 Comments

Barack Obama scored a home run in tonight’s debate when he said that the Romney policy ideas represented :

The Foreign Policy of the 1980s

The Social Policies of the 1950s

The Economic Policies of the 1920s

The author had a hearty laugh hearing this, as that is exactly his sentiments, and to hear our President enunciate what I have thought and said was absolutely the high moment of this debate, which already, in a CBS poll of undecided voters, showed 53 percent saying Obama won, to 23 percent for Romney, and 24 percent undecided.

Imagine–a THIRTY point victory! WOW!

Total Slaughter Of Mitt Romney In Last Presidential Debate!

Ronald 9 Comments

Barack Obama won a total victory in the last Presidential debate tonight, what could be called a slaughter!

Romney was obviously uncomfortable, and his typical smirk disappeared, and he ended up agreeing on most subjects discussed with the President.

Romney contradicted past positions, and seemed totally unprepared, while Obama had his best debate performance yet.

Romney was tongue tied at times, and spent time looking at his wife in the front row, and one could sense that he was wishing the debate was over, as in his heart, he realized he was out of his league by the midpoint of the debate.

Of course, the spin will be that Romney did very well, but the public opinion polls will not show that, and for anyone to claim that Romney “won” this debate would be evidence of hallucination.

Yes, Romney won the first debate. Yes, the second debate was close, but Obama won.

On this third and last debate, as with the Vice Presidential debate, the Obama-Biden tandem won handily, and they will be reelected on November 6, and be re-inaugurated President and Vice President on January 20, 2013!

The Secretive, Non-Transparent Candidate, Mitt Romney: Are We Going To Let Him Get Away With It?

Ronald 4 Comments

Mitt Romney is the most secretive Presidential nominee in history, and yet, at this point, two weeks out, he is basically tied with Barack Obama in many public opinion polls. It seems as if the American people are prepared to, possibly, elect a candidate who is totally non-transparent about his life and viewpoints.

Romney refuses to talk about his finances and his wealth, with no more than two tax returns revealed. He refuses to talk about his investments in Swiss banks and in the Cayman Islands.

Romney refuses to talk about his religion, and his role as a Bishop in the Mormon Church, a position of leadership.

Romney refuses to talk about his Bain business career in detail, and the harm he did to many companies, and workers, and his dealings with China.

Romney refuses to talk about his plans for spending, and changes in the tax system, which would affect all Americans, if he were elected.

Romney has refused to reveal his funding sources for his campaign, and what pledges he has made to wealthy people who have supported him.

Romney has been refusing to be forthright on ANYTHING, and he has been arrogant in his refusal to be open to the news media in any form.

Romney has been shown to be a massive liar, and to act as if he is entitled to be President, simply because he lusts for the job.

But he sets a terrible standard for lack of transparency, and if he wins, the Presidency will be more secretive than it ever has been since Richard Nixon.

And remember, his own wife has been quoted as concerned how having the stresses of the Presidency might affect her husband’s mental health.

This man is narcissistic to the extreme, has delusions of grandeur, has no problem lying and misleading, cannot look at anyone directly in the eyes, and is clearly lacking in being genuine and trustworthy.

Just because he might be intelligent, and a good husband and father, does not qualify him, based on the above evidence, to be the President of the United States!

Hopefully, the American people will not make the mistake of electing an unknown quantity who could be dangerous in a secretive environment, such as the White House, with people ready to give in to any and all whims by a deluded President, who has no concern about public opinion! If so, he could be far worse in his negative qualities than Richard Nixon!

Discussion Of Obama Campaign Abandoning Florida: The Wrong Idea!

Ronald 5 Comments

Recent public opinion polls indicate that Mitt Romney, the Republican Presidential nominee, is surging ahead in Florida, the biggest “swing” state with 29 electoral votes.

So, as a result, there is speculation and discussion of the Barack Obama campaign abandoning the fight in Florida, and taking the campaign to the other “swing” states, although at this point, Vice President Joe Biden is campaigning in Florida, and President Obama is due in Delray Beach this Tuesday.

It would be a serious mistake to abandon Florida, and it would undermine the campaign were that decision made at this point, with 17 days to go.

The odds of Obama improving his poll numbers after the Foreign Policy Debate in Boca Raton on Monday are excellent, so ONLY in the last week of the campaign, if the situation does not improve, should any consideration of abandonment of the fight for the Sunshine State be considered.

Interesting Survey On NYC Mayoralty Race For 2013

Ronald Leave a comment

In a poll of NYC voters on who should run for Mayor in 2013, at a time when Mayor Michael Bloomberg will retire after 12 years,, very unusual results were reported.

While City Council President Christine Quinn (who is lesbian) has 23 percent in the polls; former City Controller Bill Thompson (who is African American) has 15 percent; and present City Controller John Liu (who is Asian American) has 9 percent; what is more interesting is that a third of those in the poll want former NY Governor Eliot Spitzer to run, and that a quarter of those in the poll want former Congressman Anthony Weiner; and only 18 percent want actor Alec Baldwin to enter the race.

What does this say about NYC voters? Do they really want a disgraced former Governor and a disgraced former Congressman to be their Mayor–even more than a well known actor and comedian? Isn’t the idea of the first woman Mayor who is gay; a black Mayor to follow up on David Dinkins; and an Asian American Mayor enough exciting?

No one is denying that Spitzer and Weiner may want vindication that they can come back from sex scandals, but somehow the alternatives, including Alec Baldwin, and the three city officials, seem like a more amenable set of choices!

The Most Crucial Day In the Presidential Election Of 2012!

Ronald Leave a comment

Tonight’s debate at Hofstra University in Hempstead, New York, is a most crucial day in this election cycle, as it could be the decisive day in deciding who is our next President!

With many public opinion polls showing a Romney “bump” as a result of the first debate two weeks ago, Barack Obama MUST put on a much better performance, and be declared a clear winner!

He must be more assertive and aggressive, without appearing to be arrogant.

He must show that Mitt Romney is deceptive, untrustworthy, and is inconsistent in his views, and how a Romney victory would transform America in ways that many people seem not to be thinking about.

Obama must make it clear of what the dangers are to women, Hispanics and Latinos, African Americans, labor, college students, senior citizens, the environment, and other groups that would suffer under a Romney Presidency.

Obama must explain how the Supreme Court and lower federal courts would be transformed for another generation, setting back the progress of the past 50 years.

Obama must warn America against bold military adventures similar to what happened in Iraq, and how the war there and in Afghanistan have bankrupted the nation.

Obama must show confidence, courage, leadership, and emphasize that things are getting better, and will continue in a second Obama term.

Ultimately, Obama must look the questioners at the debate in the eyes, and at us on television, and tell us that he has our back in planning a bright future, and that we should have his back!

Good luck tonight, Mr. President!

Positive Signs For The Obama Campaign And The Democrats

Ronald Leave a comment

With 23 days to go to the Presidential Election of 2012, the situation is improving for the Democrats and Barack Obama.

The evidence includes the following:

Joe Biden went on the offensive against Paul Ryan, and demonstrated the falsehoods and deceptions promoted by Ryan and his running mate, Mitt Romney.

Barack Obama is working more diligently at debate preparation, and the Town Hall format of the second Presidential debate at Hofstra University in New York on Tuesday favors his strengths, as compared to Romney.

Early voting statistics in Ohio indicate a massive lead for Obama, a very encouraging development. And no Republicans has ever won the Presidency without Ohio, and the Electoral College still favors the President in most scenarios, as he only needs to win two to three of nine states considered “swing” states, to secure 270 electoral votes.

The Democratic Congressional Committee raised twice the amount of the National Republican Congressional Committee in August.

The Obama campaign has gained a grand total of 4 million contributors to their effort, the most in history.

Many incumbent Republicans are facing tough reelection campaigns, including Michele Bachmann, Steve King, Joe Walsh, Eric Cantor, Allen West, and even Paul Ryan.

The odds of a continued Senate majority for the Democrats are increasing.

The chances of a Democratic majority in the House of Representatives are also increasing, with Democrats rating higher in public opinion polls about Congress, than the Republicans.

Of course, the situation will remain fluid, and there could be last minute changes, but right now, things look promising on all fronts!

Pew Poll Shows Massive Swing To Romney: Is The Election Lost For Obama?

Ronald 4 Comments

The Pew Research Poll that came out yesterday is an alarming reminder that the Presidential Election Of 2012 is far from over, as Mitt Romney gained massively in many ways, and at least in this poll, is now ahead by 4 points over Barack Obama.

Is it time to panic? No, but it is a sign that Joe Biden MUST do well in the upcoming Vice Presidential debate against Paul Ryan on Thursday, and Obama MUST perform much better than his lackadaisical effort in the first Presidential debate last week, in the remaining two Presidential debates next week and the week after!.

Additionally, more effort must be made to demonstrate that Mitt Romney is a chameleon, which he most certainly is, and that one cannot trust that his sudden move to the middle is the true Romney, after a year of working hard to be considered, as he self described himself, as a “severe” conservative!

The Gallup daily tracking poll shows Obama ahead by five points, 50-45, as he was before the debate, which became a tie for two days after the debate, but then went back to its old numbers after the favorable jobs report on Friday.

It is clear that the polls are very volatile, and may reflect doubts by voters about who should be President, but a good performance by both Biden and Obama, along with accelerated efforts to show Romney as the liar that he is, is still likely to lead to the same result, with a majority of “swing” states in Obama’s camp, with only the need to win two to three of them to win the Electoral College majority.

More worrisome is how the Obama decline for now could affect House and Senate races, and possibly give the Republicans control of both houses of Congress in the worst scenario.

For these next four weeks, all those who want to insure an Obama and Democratic victory must put in gargantuan efforts to bring about the desired result!