The Democratic Party has several advantages going into the Presidential Election campaign of 2024.
Among them are:
Women in large percentages are outraged by the Supreme Court ending legal abortion protections on the federal level, and the actions by Republican state legislatures to prevent abortion rights further should favor Democrats in 2024, state and national levels.
African Americans are likely to continue to support Democrats with the new attack on “Diversity, Equity and Inclusion”, including the words and actions of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, but also the broad attack on civil rights by Republicans at all levels.
Young people, particularly those of Generation Z, born from 1997 onward, are strongly moving toward the Democrats.
College educated people are becoming more strongly Democratic across the nation.
Gays, lesbians, and transgender Americans clearly see the Republican attack on their basic civil rights as a dire threat.
Suburban voters have become more Democratic in recent elections, and are likely to continue in that vein.
Religion has declined rapidly, which also helps promote Democrats.
Supreme Court decisions have been highly unpopular, and helped to shift many voters toward Democrats.
The continuing danger of Donald Trump has motivated many voters to turn to the Democrats.
Joe Biden’s two and a half year record, arguably the best in domestic affairs since Lyndon B. Johnson, boosts his candidacy, including the economy which has been better under Biden than any earlier President at this point, and with the one problem, inflation, rapidly declining, but with unemployment at a more than 50 year low.
The biggest problem is the uncertainty of the Hispanic-Latino vote, particularly among Cuban Americans, and those from Nicaragua, and Venezuela heritage, but even among Mexican Americans who have become more skeptical about Democrats.
Also, elderly Americans are less Democratic than they have traditionally been, and the Trump support is about one third of the electorate.
The less educated whites are declining rapidly, but are still strong supporters of Republicans, because of racist tendencies.
So the election will be highly contestable, and some experts say the election will come down to four states—Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, and Wisconsin!