119th Congress (2025-2027)

Democratic House Of Representatives In 120th Congress (2027-2029) Assured!

Ronald Leave a comment

With one week to go, it is quite apparent that the Democratic Party will regain control of the House of Representatives, and by a clear margin, in the 120th Congress (2027-2029).

Most Democratic seats will be safe, whether the officeholders or their successor nominees.

But the Republican Party seems certain to lose seats around the country, including some in Texas, Florida, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, California, Iowa, and Ohio specifically.

There are also likely other losses in some other states.

So the broad prediction is that the Democratic Party will gain at least 20-25 seats, and possibly more.

If the total is at least 20, then it would be a 17 seat gain over the number needed for a majority, which would mean a likely total of 235 Democrats, 200 Republicans.

It could be slightly less, or a lot more, but it is quite certain that Hakeem Jeffries of New York will become the next Speaker of the House of Representatives, becoming the first African American Speaker, a major step forward.

Women In The 119th Congress: Democrats Vs Republicans

Ronald 28 Comments

When one examines the number of women in the US House Of Representatives, it is overwhelming how there are so many more Democrats than Republicans in the chamber.

Presently, there are 97 women serving in the lower chamber who are Democrats, about 45 percent of the party membership; while the Republicans only have 32 women serving, 15 percent of the party membership.

The expectation is that in the 120th Congress, there will be more than 100 women Democrats.

In the Senate, presently, there are 16 women Democrats and 10 women Republicans.

There were 22 newly elected women in the present House membership—19 Democrats and 3 Republicans; and 3 newly elected Democratic women in the Senate.

So a grand total of 155 women are serving in the 119th Congress.

35 House Of Representatives Districts As Battleground In 2026 Congressional Elections!

Ronald 44 Comments

With 37 days until the Midterm Congressional Elections of 2026, there are 35 House of Representatives districts that are the battleground for control of the chamber in the upcoming 120th Congress (2027-2029).

61 House members–24 Democrats and 37 Republicans–chose not to run for reelection, with 9 Democrats and 20 Republicans retiring to run for other offices.

11 members, 7 Democrats and 4 Republicans, lost renomination. Also, one Republican and one Democrat resigned due to scandal.

Also, there were mid decade redistricting changes in Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah.

If the Democrats could win three seats, they would have a barebones majority, as the Republicans have had in the 119th Congress (2025-2027).

The 19 states with competitive House districts include the following:

Arizona 2
California 3
Colorado 1
Florida 3
Iowa 2
Michigan 3
Missouri 1
Nebraska 1
Nevada 1
New Jersey 1
New Mexico 1
New York 3
North Carolina 2
Ohio 2
Pennsylvania 3
Texas 3
Virginia 1
Washington 1
Wisconsin 1

It seems evident at this point that Democrats have the likelihood of gaining more than 3 additional seats to become the majority in the House of Representatives in the 120th Congress.

Congress Is On Way To Most Turnover In Any Cycle In American History, For The Upcoming 120th Congress (2027-2029)

Ronald 19 Comments

The 119th Congress (2025-2027) is setting a record for turnover, leading to the most massive number of members who will no longer be members in the 120th Congress (2027-2029).

Based on the latest information, but certain to be added to over the next few months, the statistics as of now show the following:

At least, 83 Incumbents will NOT be returning:

70 members of the House of Representatives, including 30 Democrats and 40 Republicans

13 US Senators, including 9 Republicans and 4 Democrats

Retirements, Resignations, Deaths, Seeking Other Offices, and Reelection Primary Losses are the factors that are causing massive turnover, and with more to come after more primaries and Election Day results.

Seven sitting Democrats and three Republicans in the House have lost primaries, and two Republican Senators also lost their primaries, John Cornyn and Bill Cassidy.

Also, 27 House members have given up their seats to run for another office, with 13 losing their bids for another office. Additionally, Senator Tommy Tuberville of Alabama is not running for reelection, but is the Republican nominee for Governor.

Five House members have died during this Congress, as well as Republican Senator Lindsey Graham.

Additionally, there have been seven resignations, mostly due to ethics related charges, but also appointment or election to other offices, as well as the resignation of Marjorie Taylor Greene in opposition to Donald Trump on the Epstein Scandals matter and other breaks with Trump.

It is good that the next Congress will be, assuredly, much younger, with the move against endless service of long term members being a positive development.

One more major moment of challenge of age against youth will be the September 1 Massachusetts primary for the Senate, where Senator Ed Markey, age 80, with 37 years in the House of Representatives and 13 plus years in the US Senate, faces the challenge of Congressman Seth Moulton, who is 47 years old and has served 12 years in the lower chamber.

Markey is a strong progressive with an outstanding record, but it seems to most observers that it is time for a younger generation to take over.

Amazingly, Markey held off former Congressman Joseph Kennedy III six years ago, despite the Kennedy name, and it will be a close watched primary coming up two weeks from now.

First Session Of 119th Congress Ends, Leaving Millions Without Health Care Coverage!

Ronald 5 Comments

The 119th Congress, First Session, has ended with the reality that the Affordable Care Act (Obama Care) has been gutted, with up to 22 million Americans left without health care coverage, a major tragedy.

Many of these Americans have serious health conditions, and now are in an impossible situation, leading to the reality that many will die as a result.

What the Republican dominated Congress has perpetrated is to abandon millions of Americans in their mad quest to give further tax cuts to people who do not need them.

Even Mitt Romney, the 2012 Presidential nominee of the Republican Party, has now come out for taxing millionaires, reversing his campaign back in 2012 against President Barack Obama, which contributed to his defeat.

With a growing oligarchy of super wealthy people, the nation is in dire financial straits that denies people a basic human right to health care.

European countries and Canada, and many other nations elsewhere, provide national health insurance, and yet, Republicans and Donald Trump have no concern about the welfare of those less fortunate, who are dependent on what was passed into law in 2010.

If it was up to the mean, nasty Republicans, they would look to eliminate Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security over time, goals the party has had since the 1930s and 1960s.

So this is a time where Americans have to come to grips that the Republican Party is only concerned about the elite top ten percent, and every effort has to be made to insure Democrats take over Congress, and start to take action against the evils of Donald Trump and his Cabinet Officers!

119th Congress So Far Most Unaccomplished Congress Since World War II!

Ronald Leave a comment

The 119th Congress, in its first year, has accomplished the worst record of any Congress, since records were kept since World War II.

One cannot expect the next session to be any better, and many members of the House of Representatives are either announced retirements, or plan to announce such soon.

Some are going on to run for Governor of their state or the US Senate, but most are just leaving elective office, feeling there is little motivation to stay, and in many cases, facing threats perpetrated by Donald Trump and his government against them.

The statistics are shocking!

As of now, Congress has only passed into law 128 bills, the worst since the 104th Congress (1995-1997), which had 430 bills passed into law, and was also the first Republican controlled Congress in 40 years, part of the “Republican Revolution” under Newt Gingrich!

This reality makes it seems clear that the Republicans are on the road to major losses and repudiation in the Midterm Congressional Elections of 2026!

Speaker Of The House Mike Johnson May Lose Leadership During Unproductive 119th Congress!

Ronald 5 Comments

Speaker of the House Mike Johnson of Louisiana has been the leader of the House of Representatives (119th Congress) now for two years and one month, but his time as Speaker seems assured to be limited, and to end soon.

His House majority is becoming smaller, and after the announced resignation of Georgia Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, to take place in January, there are strong hints that some more House Republicans, sensing doom in the Midterm Congressional Elections of 2026, may opt out before then, leaving vacancies.

The 119th Congress already stands out as the worst, least productive Congress, possibly going back to the early 1930s, and the 71st and 72nd Congresses (1929-1933), as the Great Depression overtook the nation under Herbert Hoover!

That led to Democratic dominance for the next six decades from 1932-1994, and helped to bring about the New Deal of Franklin D. Roosevelt and the Great Society of Lyndon B. Johnson.

If more House Republicans decide to take an early exit, suddenly, the House of Representatives could fall into the control of the Democrats, dislodge Johnson, and make Hakeem Jeffries Speaker of the House.

Even if that does not occur, there is a lot of discontent in the Republican Party with Johnson, who is seen as having “caved in”, being a sycophant and obsequious to the demands of President Donald Trump, and not concerned himself enough with pleasing his own House majority.

Hard to believe, but many think of Johnson as the worst Republican Speaker of modern times, which is saying a lot, when one considers his competition is Kevin McCarthy, his direct predecessor; Paul Ryan, who preceded McCarthy; John Boehner, who preceded Ryan, and even Dennis Hastert, the longest serving Speaker from 1999-2007, who ended up in federal prison on charges of sexual abuse of teenage boys.

By comparison, Democratic House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (2007-2011, 2019-2023) shines as a brilliant House leader, regarded as one of the top few of all time, and now choosing to retire at the end of the 119th Congress at the end of 2026!

Trump Cancellation Of Federal Funding Of National History Day Contest A Step Too Far! :(

Ronald 12 Comments

Donald Trump cannot go low enough, as now National History Day, a contest that involves hundreds of thousands of students in a competition for the best history project, conducted annually in June, is no longer being financially supported by the federal government

This is part of the gutting of the long operating National Endowment for the Humanities and National Endowment For The Arts, first initiated 60 years ago as part of President Lyndon B. Johnson’s Great Society!

It is clear that nothing is too low for the Trump Administration in the mad dash to cut spending through Elon Musk and the Department Of Government Efficiency (DOGE), and allow massive tax cuts fot the wealthy to go through to law!

The 119th Congress, with a slim Republican majority, is on the road to destruction of much of federal government programs, without any regard for the damage that is being wrought!

Donald Trump’s Victory In 2024 Fifth Lowest Since 1924!

Ronald 1 Comment

Donald Trump and his loyalists continue to declare that he had a “massive” victory in the Presidential Election of 2024, when he most certainly did not, and including the fact that his Republican Party now has the barest margin in the House of Representatives that has occurred since the 72nd Congress in 1931-1932, losing the majority on October 22, 1931 to the Democrats and never regaining the majority again until the 80th Congress in 1947-1948.

Trump has the fifth lowest margin of victory by 1.7 percent, only higher than Richard Nixon in 1968 with 0.7 percent, John F. Kennedy in 1960 with O.2 percent, George W. Bush with MINUS 0.5 percent in 2000, and Trump with MINUS 2.1 percent in 2016, with the last two losing the popular vote, but winning the Electoral College.

And Trump did NOT gain the majority of the popular vote, ending up with 49.9 percent.

So Donald Trump does NOT have the mandate he thinks he has, and if Republicans lose one or two seats in replacement elections for members of the House that are joining the administration from Florida and New York, then the Democrats have the possibility of gaining control of the House of Representatives during the present 119th Congress.

Guarantee Of Chaotic 119th Congress!

Ronald 1 Comment

The 119th Congress (2025-2027) is guaranteed to be chaotic, and might be worse in performance than the 118th Congress (2023-2025).

With the final count having finally been settled in the House of Representatives, there will be a total of 220 Republicans and 215 Democrats, but since Matt Gaetz resigned, and Michael Waltz of Florida will be National Security Adviser, and Elise Stefanik of New York will be United Nations Ambassador, the actual balance for the first few months of the new year will be 217-215, until special elections fill those three seats.

This means any one Republican abandonment, or members absent for votes, and chaos will reign, and Democrats may gain the majority on some issues, and even, if there is opposition to the Speaker by a few Republicans, could lead to new elections for the House leadership.

Also, while the Senate now has 53 Republicans, there is a high likelihood that at least four or more Republican Senators will reject a number of Donald Trump’s Cabinet appointments.

The 118th Congress was reckless and chaotic enough, but now there will be fewer Republicans than in the last Congress in the lower chamber, and some Senators will be unwilling to bow to Donald Trump on some of his outrageous nominees for the Cabinet, and other actions by the 47th President when he takes the oath of office!