It is now time to summarize on the success of “The Progressive Professor” Scorecard predictions on the US Senate, US House of Representatives, and the State Governorship Elections in 2026.
Regarding the Senate, the only Senate races NOT won were:
Angie Nixon–Florida lost by narrow margin
Dan Osborn–Nebraska lost by substantial margin
Regarding the House of Representatives, the prediction was at least a gain to 235 seats, while the total is just about 260, a lot more than projected.
Regarding the State Governorships, the only Gubernatorial races NOT won was:
Florida–David Jolly lost by narrow margin
Two states that it was thought some chance for victory, turned out also to be successes:
Alaska–Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins by massive margin
Nevada–Aaron Ford by substantial margin
Two Democratic states which were thought to go Republican remained Democratic:
Kansas–Cindy Holscher over Republican Ty Masterson by small margin
Oregon–Tina Kotek over Christine Drazan by massive margin
So overall a successful set of predictions, but a bit underestimated on the House of Representatives and the State Governorships.