Public Opinion Polls

Major Political Split Emerging Regarding US-Israel War On Iran

The decision of Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu to wage war on Iran is causing a major political split.

The fact that Trump and his Cabinet did not consult with Congress up front and ask for backing through the War Powers Act of 1973;

that Trump has lied about the so called “imminent” threat Iran presented to American national security;

that Trump and his Cabinet chose not to be interviewed by news media this weekend after the first day of military action;

that Trump has totally reversed his former stand against getting involved in military interventions as a critic of the Iraq and Afghanistan Wars in the past;

that anger is rising among the general public, as early polls show only 25 percent of those polled support the intervention;

that Trump seemed not to have much empathy about the loss of life of military personnel, when he personally avoided military service by claiming “bone spurs”;

all this and more is creating a major political crisis that is unlikely to go away anytime soon, and the prospect of greatly increased oil prices as a result of the widening Middle East War, with other nations in the area being drawn into it, adds to the complicated crisis.

Already, within his party, Trump has angered Kentucky Senator Rand Paul; Kentucky Congressman Thomas Massie; former Georgia Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene who was a MAGA supporter, and also, commentator Tucker Carlson, and this is just the beginning, in less than 48 hours after the war has begun.

At the same time, while most Democrats are opposed to the war, some are supportive, causing a split in that political party as well, including

Senator John Fetterman of Pennsylvania
Congressman Jared Moskowitz of Florida
Congressman Tom Suozzi of New York
Congressman Greg Landsman of Ohio
Congressman Henry Cuellar of Texas

The fact that some Democrats are supportive of the war means when and if a War Powers Resolution comes up for a vote, it could undermine the ability to gain a majority of support for such action.

Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth made clear on Monday morning, the third day of the war, that there would be no holding back on the war effort, creating a likely constitutional crisis as Donald Trump and company pursue their goals in league with Israel, despite the fact that diplomacy was in process, and had not been given a full chance to work.

So the image of Donald Trump, “The Dove”, which caused many MAGA Republicans in the voting population to support him in 2024, is in tatters.

A major political division is likely to grow wider as the war continues, without any assurance of avoiding disarray in an area of the world notable for instability.

That only complicates the issue of what will happen politically in the Midterm Elections of 2026 and the Presidential Election of 2028.

And the announcement by Prime Minister Keir Starmer of the United Kingdom that the British government is not in support of the war, and believe in a negotiated settlement, is a stunning blow to the mission pursued by Trump and Netanyahu. It is highly unusual, that our closest ally in Europe would come out openly in the House of Commons and criticize and refuse support of the war effort.

Donald Trump has made clear in his press conference that there is the possibility of ground troops being sent into combat in the Middle East if that is seen as necessary.

So it seems potentially possible that America could be engaging in what will become a major long term conflict, similar to what occurred in Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq, further dividing and complicating American politics in the near term and long term!

Texas Senate Primary On March 3 A Crucial Moment For Both Political Parties

What may be the most crucial Senate race of all in 2026 is the Texas race, where Republican Senator John Cornyn is being seriously challenged by Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and African American Congressman Wesley Hunt; and where Democratic African American Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett is being challenged by Texas State Representative James Talarico, with the upcoming primary to be on March 3, less than a month from today, and if a runoff is needed, on May 26.

Cornyn has been in the Senate since 2002, and is now 74 years old, and has held leadership positions in the Senate, including Senate Republican Whip from 2013-2019. Not considered “Conservative Enough”, he is facing a tough intraparty battle with Ken Paxton, embattled and hardline MAGA conservative often praised by President Donald Trump, although so far, Trump has remained neutral in this intraparty battle.

Paxton has been shown to be corrupt in his dealings and rhetoric, and was impeached by the Texas House Republicans, although found not guilty by the Texas Senate Republicans. He is considered highly corrupt and outrageous in utterances, and also was revealed to be cheating on his wife, who now has filed for divorce.

Congressman Wesley Hunt, 20 years younger than Paxton, and thirty years younger than Cornyn, is a “wild card” in the primary race. A military veteran who graduated from West Point (the US Military Academy), and remained in the military for eight years, he would represent a modernization of the Republican Party in Texas, and could help decide whether Cornyn or Paxton win the nomination, and with an outside chance with three candidates, that he could pull off an upset. If no candidate gains a majority in the primary, there will be a runoff.

A major “revolution” in Texas Republican politics would be if, somehow, Hunt could win over both Cornyn and Paxton, and even more so, if he faced Jasmine Crockett, making for two young African American politicians with vastly different viewpoints as the finalists in the Senate race. However, if Texas State Representative James Talarico, who is only 36, was to run against Hunt, that would also be a major “revolution” in Texas politics.

The “youth” movement would be served by Hunt and Crockett, both born in 1981, and Talarico, born in 1989, rather than the old, stodgy leadership of Cornyn, or the corrupt leadership of Paxton.

The thought at the moment is that if Paxton wins the Republican nomination, it would make it easier for Crockett or Talarico to win the Senate seat, while if Cornyn won the nomination, he would have an edge over either of them.

But Talarico has done well in public opinion polls, and could be the most exciting Senate candidate of the 2026 Senate cycle, if he can triumph over Crockett.

If either Crockett or Talarico can win the Senate race, it would be a sign of a likely takeover of the Senate majority by the Democratic party.

Chinks In The Armor Of Trump Land: Suzie Wiles Revelations, And More Damage Escalating!

After taking a day off from commentary to celebrate my birthday, back to the horrors of the Trump Presidency, and its impact on the nation and the world!

A shocking series of interviews over a year between Donald Trump’s White House Chief of Staff, Suzie Wiles, and journalist Chris Whipple, reveals just how unstable Donald Trump is, and how his close advisers are also to be seen as dangerous to American domestic and foreign policy. Wiles tells us that Trump is “like an alcoholic” in behavior, even though Trump does not drink! Think about what that is saying about the man who has control of nuclear weapons!

This was followed by a lunatic speech by Donald Trump last night, full of lies and mistruths, truly a sign that Trump lives in his own reality, blaming everything on Joe Biden, and claiming the economy is in great shape, when all indications are just the opposite. He was yelling at the American people in his fast talking speech, blaming them for not believing what he says, according to public opinion polls.

And then, Trump has added nasty comments to portraits of the Presidents in the White House, focusing on Joe Biden, Barack Obama, and BIll Clinton, and has just had the personally selected Kennedy Center board rename it the Trump-Kennedy Center!

All these situations are further proof that the nation and the world are in great danger as long as bombastic narcissist Donald Trump sits in the White House, making lunatic statements, and being encouraged by his evil advisers, who do what they want, and he goes along, mostly out of ignorance and malice!

Gallup Poll Shows Donald Trump Lowest Public Opinion Rating Twice Of Any Of Last Seven Presidents Since Ronald Reagan

THe Gallup Polls, considered the most reliable of all public opinion polls historically, demonstrate that after nine months in office twice, Donald Trump has the lowest public opinion ratings of any of the last seven Presidents, going back to Ronald Reagan 45 years ago.

George W. Bush had the highest rating at 88 percent, occurring one month after the September 11 attacks in 2001.

His father, George H. W. Bush, had a rating of 68 percent in 1989.

Ronald Reagan had a rating of 55 percent in 1981, coming months after the attempted assassination in March of that year.

Barack Obama had a rating of 53 percent in 2009.

Bill Clinton had a rating of 48 percent in 1993.

Joe Biden had a rating of 42 percent in 2021.

Trump in his second term has a rating of 41 percent in 2025, and in his first term, he had an even lower rating of 37 percent.

With the growing lack of popularity of Trump’s domestic and foreign policies, it seems highly likely that Trump’s ratings will fall to an all time low for any President as time marches on!

With Pending Government Shutdown, Trump And His Extremist Supporters Are Becoming More Of A Threat Exponentially! :(

With the growing likelihood of a government shutdown looming on Tuesday evening, September 30, there is a growing threat exponentially of Donald Trump and his supporters becoming an ever greater threat to all Americans.

Such individuals as Stephen Miller and Thomas Homan on immigration; Russell Vought on the budget; Pete Hegseth and Tulsi Gabbard on defense and national security; Kash Patel on intelligence gathering; and Pam Bondi on legal and justice matters, are a growing nightmare that could lead to major disasters in so many ways.

But this is not the time to concede, give up, lose faith,as that will only embolden the authoritarian bent of the Trump Presidency.

It is a reality that a minority of Americans, maybe 35-40 percent are ignoring or supporting what has been happening over the last eight months, but history tells us that Donald Trump will continue to lose public support as the months go by!

New York City Mayoralty Race In Tumult!

New York City, the largest city in America, will elect its 111th Mayor in its history in November.

In a “wild and woolly” race, we have professed Democratic Socialist and Shiite Muslim Queens County State Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani, 33 years old, way ahead of former NY Governor Andrew Cuomo, present NYC Mayor Eric Adams, and Republican Guardian Angels Founder Curtis Sliwa.

While there is concern about Mamdani’s Socialist leanings and his Shiite Muslim religion, he is seen as winning no matter who stays in the race or drops out.

Sliwa certainly has ZERO chance of being elected Mayor, as there is no appetite to elect a Republican to the Mayoralty in the time of Donald Trump.

Sliwa is no Fiorello LaGuardia, John Lindsey, Rudy Giuliani, or Michael Bloomberg, all affiliated with the Republican Party in the past hundred years of Mayoral history.

Adams has become the only sitting Mayor to be indicted, and then, seemingly, given a pass by Donald Trump as long as he does not interfere with ICE Raids. The corruption in his administration of so many aides, along with his own personal corruption, is mind boggling.

At the same time, Andrew Cuomo has a corrupt background as well, forcing him to resign as NY Governor in 2021 on sexual harassment accusations.

So polls indicate despite concerns about Mamdani’s background and experience and his youth, he is extremely likely to win the election, despite police unions against him, the Jewish community uneasy, and the African American community being disinterested in him.

Mamdani has drawn support particularly from young voters, and Latino, Asian American, and white liberal voters, who see him as a refreshing change from corrupt leadership of Adams and Cuomo.

Mamdani has over 40 percent in the polls, and if any of his opponents drop out of the race, he rises to the mid to high 40s.

It is not a requirement for any candidate for Mayor or any public office in America to win a majority of the popular vote, as many Presidents have not done so, as well as Governors and Senators historically.

So it is likely that Mamdani will become the 111th Mayor!

And Mamdani will face the hostile President Trump, who has spoken of sending the National Guard into NYC, and even of deporting Mamdani, who was born in Uganda where he lived to age 5, then in South Africa until age 7, and then moved to New York City.

Both his parents are of Indian descent, with his mother being Hindu and his father being Muslim.

Financial Insecurity And Fear Of Immigrants Exploited By Trump, But America IS A Liberal Nation, As Proved In Public Opinion Surveys!

Donald Trump won the Presidential Election of 2024, based on two factors: Financial Insecurity, and Fear of Immigrants.

But that does not mean that America is a right wing nation, a MAGA Republican nation.

When one examines public opinion ratings on a host of issues, America is truly a liberal oriented nation, which can, however, be swayed by Financial Insecurity and Fear of Immigrants.

For instance, 69 percent support legal abortion.

90 percent want more gun control laws.

72 percent believe the Climate Crisis is real.

79 percent want the wealthy to pay more taxes.

71 percent support Labor Unions.

73 percent want student loan debt relief.

72 percent want money out of politics.

69 percent support same sex marriage.

65 percent want to end the Electoral College.

89 percent oppose gerrymandering.

65 percent support term limits for the Supreme Court.

So when one considers the large number of women, young people, and people of color in our population, there is still hope for the future.

Whatever “Honeymoon” Trump Had Is Gone, Based On Public Opinion Polls At End Of First Hundred Days!

Donald Trump supporters and the President himself love to say he has had a “honeymoon”, even though his 49.9 percent victory in the popular vote in the Presidential Election of 2024 was the worst since Richard Nixon in 1968 and John F. Kennedy in 1960.

But polls now coming out show Trump’s “honeymoon’, if it existed, is over, as he has the lowest public opinion rating after 100 days in office of any President since public opinion polls began decades ago.

Trump has 44 percent support in the Fox News Poll, down from 45 percent after the first hundred days of his first term!

Meanwhile, Joe Biden had 54 percent; Barack Obama had 62 percent; and George W. Bush had 63 percent at this point of their administrations.

This is a bad sign for Trump, who, one must recall, lost the popular vote by 2.85 million in 2016 and by 7.1 million in 2020!

Trump has never been able to gain majority support of the population at any time, despite his delusions that he is widely accepted!

And in The Economist poll after 100 days, Trump is rated even lower than in the Fox News poll, at 41 percent!

Delusional And Unconstitutional Ideas Of Third Term For Donald Trump!

As public opinion polls make clear that Donald Trump is becoming very unpopular with his dizzying, chaotic policies after just ten weeks in office, Trump is speaking about a third term as President.

This is impossible, as the 22nd Amendment, ratified in 1951 after Franklin D. Roosevelt was elected four times to the Presidency, limits any President to two elected terms, or if succeeding to the office, a maximum of ten years is allowed,meaning only if a Vice President comes into the Presidency with less than two years left, then he could be elected twice, for a total of up to ten years.

Already, Lyndon B. Johnson, before he dropped out of the Presidential race in 1968, could have had 9 years and two months in office, while Gerald Ford, who came in with 2 years and five months left in the term, could only be elected once, but was defeated in 1976.

To overcome this amendment would require a repeal of the 22nd Amendment, and a succession amendment that changed these limitations.

But that would require a two thirds vote in both the House of Representatives and the Senate, followed by support of 38 states out of 50 by majority vote in both houses of the state legislature.

Such is not going to happen, and certainly, not rapidly enough for 2028.

Clearly, Trump is delusional, with his idea that JD Vance might be elected with Trump as Vice President, and then would resign to allow Trump to come back to the White House.

But that would never happen, and still violates the 22nd Amendment.

Also, when Trump says he loves work, that is purely a lie, as he spends too much time golfing, and everyone who has observed him, knows he is lazy and does not like the details of the job, and hardly reads any important information more than one page in length.

This whole concept of a third term for Trump will never happen constitutionally, and is just a smoke screen for Trump to gain constant attention.

And his comment that he is the most popular Republican President in the past century shows his lack of knowledge and reality about Dwight D. Eisenhower and Ronald Reagan, who had much higher public opinion support than Trump, who has never had the backing of a majority of the American people.

It is also ignoring the massive election victories of Richard Nixon in 1972 and Ronald Reagan in 1984, compared to the less than a majority victory of Trump in 2024 and his failure to win the popular vote in 2016, losing by 2.85 million votes!

As Donald Trump Is About To Give His State Of The Union Address, His Public Opinion Ratings Are Lowest Except For His First Term!

As Donald Trump gets ready for his State of the Union Address on Tuesday evening, his public opinion ratings (Gallup Presidential Job Approval polls) are the lowest of any President since 1945, except for his first term first month!

From Harry Truman to Trump, below are the ratings, in order of high to low!

Harry Truman 87
Lyndon B. Johnson 78
John F. Kennedy 72
Gerald Ford 71
Dwight D. Eisenhower 68
Barack Obama 67
Jimmy Carter 66
Richard Nixon 59
Bill Clinton 58
George W Bush 57
Joe Biden 57
Ronald Reagan 51
George H W Bush 51
Donald Trump 45 (2025)
Donald Trump 44 (2017)

So Donald Trump is not gaining approval for his radical, anarchistic, and disruptive domestic and foreign policies, with a majority of Americans uneasy about the direction of the nation!