With 37 days until the Midterm Congressional Elections of 2026, there are 35 House of Representatives districts that are the battleground for control of the chamber in the upcoming 120th Congress (2027-2029).
61 House members–24 Democrats and 37 Republicans–chose not to run for reelection, with 9 Democrats and 20 Republicans retiring to run for other offices.
11 members, 7 Democrats and 4 Republicans, lost renomination. Also, one Republican and one Democrat resigned due to scandal.
Also, there were mid decade redistricting changes in Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah.
If the Democrats could win three seats, they would have a barebones majority, as the Republicans have had in the 119th Congress (2025-2027).
The 19 states with competitive House districts include the following:
Arizona 2
California 3
Colorado 1
Florida 3
Iowa 2
Michigan 3
Missouri 1
Nebraska 1
Nevada 1
New Jersey 1
New Mexico 1
New York 3
North Carolina 2
Ohio 2
Pennsylvania 3
Texas 3
Virginia 1
Washington 1
Wisconsin 1
It seems evident at this point that Democrats have the likelihood of gaining more than 3 additional seats to become the majority in the House of Representatives in the 120th Congress.