“Blue Wave”

Latest Polling Shows Likely Democratic Majority In Both Houses Of Congress After Midterm Elections In November

Ronald 85 Comments

It is well recognized that public opinion polls often are off the mark, but recognizing that, recent polls indicate a likely Democratic majority in both houses of Congress after the Midterm Elections of 2026 occur on November 3.

The belief is that the Democratic Party will end up having a majority within the range of 225-232 seats, when 218 is the majority for control.

And in the Senate, the projection is that there will be a 6 seat gain, and a majority of 53 out of 100 Senate seats, the opposite of the present situation.

And this does not include the likelihood of Dan Osborn, an Independent, winning in Nebraska, and is not counted in the 53 vote margin, so in theory, there could be 54 seats if Osborn cooperates with Democrats, which seems more likely than him cooperating with Republicans.

And with the last jobs report showing only 29,000 jobs were created in September, and the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.2 percent, it is likely that a “Blue Wave” is coming a month from tomorrow.

15 “Red” States In Play In Senate Races In Midterm Elections of 2026

Ronald 20 Comments

What seems likely to be a “Blue Wave” in the upcoming Senate races in the Midterm Elections of 2026, has created a situation where states that are normally seen as “Red”, are witnessing really tough races where Democrats have a good to moderate chance of “flipping”.

This includes the two states that have special elections to complete the two years remaining in the term—Florida with Ashley Moody, who replaced Marco Rubio; and Ohio with Jon Husted, who replaced JD Vance. Their Democratic opponents have a reasonable chance to defeat them, Angie Nixon in Florida, and Sherrod Brown in Ohio.

The following states, generally “Red”, have a potential chance to elect Democrats in November.

Alaska–Republican Senator Dan Sullivan vs former Democratic Congresswoman Mary Peltola.

Idaho–Republican Senator Jim Risch vs. Independent Todd Achilles.

Iowa–Republican Congresswoman Ashley Hinson vs Democratic State Representative Josh Turek.

Kansas–Republican Senator Roger Marshall vs Democratic Pastor Adam Hamilton.

Kentucky–Republican Congressman Andy Barr vs Democratic former State Representative Charles Booker.

Maine–Republican Senator Susan Collins vs Democratic former State Legislator Troy Jackson.

Mississippi–Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith vs Democratic local District Attorney Scott Colum.

Montana–Republican US Attorney Kurt Alme vs. Democratic Former Air Force Lieutenant Colonel Alani Bankhead vs Independent former President of University of Montana Seth Bodnar.

Nebraska–Republican Senator Pete Ricketts vs Independent Former Labor Union Leader Dan Osborn.

North Carolina–former Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Whatley vs Former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper.

South Carolina–Republican Senator Darline Graham vs Democratic pediatrician Annie Andrews.

South Dakota–Republican Senator Mike Rounds vs Independent Air Force and Navy veteran Brian Bengs.

Texas–Republican State Attorney General Ken Paxton vs Democratic State Representative James Talarico.

At this point, six weeks to Election Day, the best bets are:

Sherrod Brown–Ohio
Alaska–Mary Peltola
Iowa–Josh Turek
Kansas–Adam Hamilton
Maine–Troy Jackson
Nebraska–Dan Osborn
North Carolina–Roy Cooper
Texas–James Talarico

If at least four of these eight candidates win in their states, it would be a Democratic majority, assuming New Hampshire stays Democratic with Chris Pappas; Michigan stays Democratic with Abdul El-Sayed; Georgia stays Democratic with Jon Ossoff; and Minnesota stays Democratic with Peggy Flanagan.

Notable is that Independents, who would be likely to join the Democratic caucus in the Senate include:

Idaho–Todd Achilles
Montana–Seth Bodnar
Nebraska–Dan Osborn
South Dakota–Brian Bengs

Democrats Have Won 30 Special Elections In States Since Trump Was Elected, While Republicans Have Not Flipped Even One!

Ronald 2 Comments

Democrats had now flipped 30 seats in state legislatures and other government positions in special elections since Donald Trump’s election.

This does not only include winning the Virginia Governorship, but also state legislative gains in that state and in New Jersey, and also a multitude of lesser known, but significant rejection of Republican candidates across the board, most recently in the backyard of Donald Trump, the Palm Beach County district in both the state House and state Senate, where Trump resides at his Mar A Lago estate in Palm Beach.

But also the same turnaround occurred in Tampa, Florida, and upset wins in other states, including most recently, Arkansas and New Hampshire, along with Texas, Mississippi, Georgia, and Iowa. The swing in support to Democrats is overwhelming, stunning Republicans nationwide.

It seems clear that the “Blue Wave” is on its way for the midterm elections in November, which is why Donald Trump is trying to limit the right to vote, and why he promoted gerrymandering in Texas and other Republican states, but with Democrats taking action in California and Virginia in particular, to try to resist the strategy.