The Electoral College and Congressional Representation in the House of Representatives will change dramatically, after the Census of 2020 leads to seven states gaining electoral votes and Congressional seats, while ten states will lose electoral votes and Congressional seats starting in 2022 for the lower house of Congress, and for the Electoral College in 2024 and 2028.
The big winners will be Texas and Florida, gaining 3 and 2 seats and 3 and 2 electoral votes. Also gaining one seat and one electoral vote will be Arizona, Colorado, Oregon, Montana, and North Carolina.
The ten states that will lose one seat each and one electoral vote are:
California (first time ever)
New York
Pennsylvania
Illinois
Ohio
Michigan
Minnesota
Rhode Island
West Virginia
Alabama
Rhode Island will now only have a Representative at Large, and Montana, which had gone in recent decades from one to two to one member of the House will again have 2 seats in the lower chamber of Congress.
The “Rust Belt” continues to lose in the Northeast and Midwest, while the South and the West, generally called the “Sun Belt”, continues to gain seats and power, although California losing is a surprise. They will still have 52 (instead of 53) House seats and 54 (instead of 55) electoral votes in the 2020s.
New York has lost for seven decades in House seats and electoral votes, from a high of 45 and 47 in the 1930s and 1940s to 26 and 28 in the 2020s. while Florida in the same period has grown from 8 and 10 in the 1950s to 29 and 31 in the 2020s!
During the hours of 05:00, 06:00, and 07:00 a.m. ET, on January 2, 2020, I posted a three-part response to Ronald’s blog topic, “Hints That Texas Might Go Against Trump, and If So, Transforming the Presidential Election of 2020†(https://www.theprogressiveprofessor.com/?p=38332).
I included, related to this very blog topic, some information folded into my overall lengthy response. (I perceive this as not being only about the state of Texas.)
As of January 2, 2020, at 07:45 a.m. ET, just the first part of my response was successfully posted.
I am going to leave what I posted—all the information and insights—over there; to not be copy-and-pasted here.
These population changes, with their political dynamics, should get even more interesting.