Day: July 1, 2009

President Obama celebrated the 40th anniversary of the Gay Rights movement,  (The Stonewall Riots in NYC),  on Monday with a large crowd of gay activists at the White House, the first time this group has been given such legitimacy by a President of the United States.

There have been a lot of complaints and grousing by gay rights advocates that the President has not been rapid enough in dealing with the issues of gay marriage,  "don’t ask, don’t tell" in the military, and hate crimes against gays  (a growing crisis).    But Obama made it clear that it was part of his agenda,  and that he was certain that by the time his term in office ended,  the gay community would be satisfied with the results.  He stated that these issues could not be resolved immediately, but were a high priority of his administration.

While it is frustrating for those who want quick action,  one must realize that Obama is dealing with a multitude of issues, and as the old saying goes:  "Rome was not built in a day".   The amount of topics that Obama is confronting and promoting is mind boggling, and therefore, the element of patience must be considered, and I believe that there will be great change in the area of gay rights over time.  So I say, give the President time and we can expect results favorable to the gay community in a time frame that will be limited in duration.

With the settlement finally of the Minnesota Senate seat controversy, the possibility of a filibuster proof Senate with 60 Democrats emerges, but at the same time, the end of the Supreme Court term this week also shows the emergence of a growing conservative dominance, led by Chief Justice John Roberts,  with the growing support of swing vote Anthony Kennedy.

So it looks as if in the coming years, we may have the old conflict that existed during the years of the New Deal under Franklin D. Roosevelt during the 1930s–a conservative Supreme Court and a progressive Congress and President. 

That only changed when Roosevelt was finally able to replace some of the members of the conservative controlled Court by retirements, after unsuccessfully trying to "pack the Court", an idea which helped to undermine a continuation of the New Deal.  There was great conflict during the height of the New Deal years, and that scenario seems more and more likely during the Obama years, with the difference being that Obama only has up to eight years, while FDR had more than 12 years to help reshape the Court. 

It is unlikely that there will be much transformation of the Court before Obama leaves office, as those most likely to leave–Ruth Bader Ginsberg and John Paul Stevens–are on the liberal end of the Court.  Barring natural events outside the control of anyone, it is unlikely that Anthony Kennedy or Antonin Scalia will be leaving the Court anytime soon.  At the same time, the comparative youth of John Roberts, Clarence Thomas, and Samuel Alito, make it unlikely that they will be leaving the Court for the next 12-20 years. 

So we may have a very interesting confrontation between a country moving, seemingly, to the left, but faced by a Supreme Court moving noticeably to the right ideologically.