Donald Trump is telling us he has a 15 state strategy, including California and New York, solidly “blue” states.
Trump is living in a parallel universe, as there is no chance that he will win ANY “blue” state, as this blogger sees it, except possibly New York, his home state.
In an article for History News Network (HNN) by this author, available under “Articles” on the right side of this blog, I come to the conclusion that Trump COULD win New York, by a small margin, being that he is a resident of New York, and should carry upstate New York and Long Island, and could possibly outpoll Hillary Clinton statewide, even with New York City staying strongly Democratic.
However, California, most assuredly will NOT go for Trump, with Barack Obama having won the state by 23 points in 2012.
As I state on that article, which has had high readership, I forecast that Clinton will win two states that were “red” in 2012, North Carolina and Georgia, with a total of 31 electoral votes, which would make up for the possible loss of New York, with 29 electoral votes.
So I forecast an Electoral College vote of 334-204, instead of the 332-206 results for Obama in 2012.