We are still a bit more than four months until the Midterm Elections of 2026 take place in the first week of November.
But based on trends and public opinion polls, it is looking more likely that the Democratic Party will gain control of the majority of the US Senate for the 120th Congress (2027-2029).
These estimates are based on the collapsing public opinion polls for Donald Trump, due to the disastrous Iran War and the economic fallout that has occurred as a result.
It is also based on the irrational, unpredictable, and dangerous behavior and utterances of Donald Trump.
The Democrats need to keep their own Senate seats in Georgia, New Hampshire, Michigan, and Minnesota, and all of those seats seem safe, although as of this writing, Michigan and Minnesota have not yet settled contested party primaries, which will take place on August 4 and August 11 respectively.
Beyond defending their own seats, which seems likely, the Democrats now seem clearly ahead in:
North Carolina with former Governor Roy Cooper
Ohio with former Senator Sherrod Brown
Maine with Graham Platner
Alaska with Mary Peltola
Additionally, prospects look good in
Texas with James Talarico
Iowa with Josh Turek
Florida with Alex Vindman
Nebraska with Independent Dan Osborn
Just winning four of these eight races, and retaining the four seats they have, would insure a Democratic majority in the US Senate, and guarantee a changed situation politically for Donald Trump in his last two years in the White House.