The Presidential Election is upon us in February 2019, as more Democrats are announcing their candidacies for President.
And as they announce or are about to announce, the political knives are out for them, both by opponents in the party, and Republican and right wing critics, out to undermine all of them by any means possible.
There is no question that Donald Trump operatives are part of the equation, but we also are getting reports on POLITICO, HUFFINGTON POST, BUZZ FEED, and the NEW YORK TIMES and WASHINGTON POST that make it clear that all candidates have flaws, imperfections, and issues that could derail their candidacies.
But of course, Donald Trump has plenty of flaws, imperfections, and issues, well demonstrated since he announced his candidacy in June 2015.
So what are some of the imperfections, shortcomings, flaws of Democratic contenders?
Joe Biden has a tendency to gaffes, stupid statements he makes very often, as he tends to be extremely wordy and gabby as a personality. Also, his handling of the Clarence Thomas-Anita Hill matter in 1991 bedogs him, despite his apologies on that matter. Additionally, he is known as having been the credit card Senator, because of major banks and their credit card operations being centered in Delaware, his home state. This has led to overly high interest rates for customers over the years, and to inability of many people to go bankrupt when they are strapped financially, particularly those who have student loan debt. Additionally, he was a sponsor of tough crime laws in the 1990s, which caused many minority groups in particular to face stiff sentences for drug convictions. And finally as Vice President, he swore in Senators for new terms or first terms, and tended to be “touchy feely” with daughters, wives, and other women in the families of Senators, which could be seen as a problem by the “Me Too” Movement against sexual harassment.
Elizabeth Warren has identified herself as a native American, and it has become an albatross around her neck, leading to her apologizing, but it remains an issue which Donald Trump has, and will continue to exploit. Additionally, many people think she is too shrill, but this is a double standard, as many male politicians, including Donald Trump, Chris Christie Newt Gingrich, and Rudy Giuliani are shrill as well.
Amy Klobuchar has now been revealed as a nightmare for her staff to work for, very temperamental, cruel, abusive, demanding, which is totally against her public persona, but a list of Senators tough to work for in the same manner, shows seven out of the top ten are women. So what does one make of this, truly something to shake one’s head over.
Tulsi Gabbard is criticized for her meeting with Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad, who has committed mass murder during the eight year long Syrian Civil War.
“Beto” O’Rourke has the record of several arrests when a college student, for minor burglaries and break ins, seemingly fueled by alcohol.
Kamala Harris is criticized for opposing the death penalty for a cop killer in California, and generally, for being opposed to capital punishment.
Many progressives are unhappy with Sherrod Brown, for being against a one step movement toward Medicare For All, suggesting a slower approach in that direction.
Bernie Sanders is criticized as too far left with his “socialist” views, thought by many to be the road to defeat, particularly with Donald Trump attacking Socialism, which he sees as the Democratic Party direction.
Kirsten Gillibrand is criticized for having “bullied” Minnesota Senator Al Franken to resign over accusations of sexual harassment. Also, her overly conservative record in the House of Representatives before becoming Senator is used against her.
Cory Booker is criticized for being too tied to Wall Street and Pharmaceutical companies, and some wonder if his revelation of a dating relationship with an actress is trying to hide his single status, which has led to rumors about his sexuality.
It is clear one has to have a thick skin to participate in the Presidential race, and it does make one wonder how anyone can survive such scrutiny and remain sane and balanced.
So, sadly, the desire for perfection in a candidate or nominee is gone, and we have to pick an imperfect person to run against Donald Trump, but with the understanding that no matter what the imperfections, Donald Trump is the worst President in American history in his character, his morality, his ethics, his utterances, and his actions.
This is a topic to which I would normally respond at considerable length. However, and even though the one-year mark from the Iowa caucuses (February 3, 2020) has passed, I think there will be more candidates emerging for the 2020 Democratic nomination for president of the United States. (Some, from Ronald’s list, have not declared.) So, for this particular topic, I am going to address something else: the status of the electoral map.
Since 1992, the range of carried states have numbered between 26 and 32. A 1992 and 1996 Bill Clinton (D–Arkansas) carried 32 and 31 states. A 2000 and 2004 George W. Bush (R–Texas) carried 30 and 31 states. A 2008 and 2012 Barack Obama (D–Illinois) carried 28 and 26 states. A 2016 Donald Trump (R–New York) carried 30 states. From those seven thus far election cycles, the combined average were 29 carried states.
In Ronald’s blog entry, “Ohio, Illinois, Missouri, Nevada, and New Mexico: The Five Most Predictable States in Presidential Elections in American History,†(September 15, 2018, https://www.theprogressiveprofessor.com/?p=34829), I posted numerous comments to bring some insight into the historical record as well as some emerging trends.
What the following link, to a map I created on 270toWin.com, represents is taking the possibility of a winning Republican carrying 32 states (like, for example, if Trump wins re-election in 2020 and adds two states not in his column from 2016), as well a winning Democrat carrying 32 states (which, if you want to picture Trump unseated by his Democratic challenger, involves a strong national shift, away from him, in the U.S. Popular Vote, probably with that Democrat winning by about +8 points, to yield Hillary Clinton’s 20 states along with pickups of up to 12 states). (Additional Note: I would like to be able to embed the map here. But, I do not know if that is possible or, if so, how. It should not be confused with what what will be the status of the electoral map of 2020, for battlegrounds, because it is still early.)
* * * * *
Color Key:
• Red — 12 states are Strong Republican; it would require a winning Democrat to carry 40 states
• Medium Red — 6 states which carry as Lean Republican, along with those 12, if a winning Democrat carries up to 32 states
• Light Red — 2 states vulnerable for the Republicans, if a winning Democrat carries 32 states
• Yellow — The states which carry for a winning Republican or Democrat who reaches 30 carried states (as did a 2016 Donald Trump)
• Light Blue — 2 states vulnerable for the Democrats, if a winning Republican carries 32 states
• Medium Blue — 6 states which carry as Lean Democratic, if a winning Republican carries up to 32 states
• Blue — 12 states are Strong Democratic; it would require a winning Republican to carry 40 states
https://www.270towin.com/presidential_map_new/maps/p8jyY.png
Thanks, D, for your projected electoral map.
Food for thought!
Strong Democratic women are Trump’s kryptonite
https://www.cnn.com/2019/02/10/opinions/trumps-nightmare-female-presidential-candidates-obeidallah/index.html
Representative Ilhan Omar got into a controversy concerning some tweets that were anti-Semitic.
https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/2/12/18220241/ilhan-omars-twitter-tweet-anti-semitism
From what I’ve learned, support for Israel is complex and related to many more factors than just lobbyist money.
The lesson for Omar is quite simple. She shouldn’t talk about Israel off the cuff, and certainly not on Twitter. It’s a complicated country, mired in a difficult conflict that tends to provoke emotional reactions on all sides. There are countless rhetorical landmines that are easy to step on. Yes, AIPAC and wealthy Israel-hawk donors like Sheldon Adelson have outsized power in Washington. Yes, it’s legitimate, indeed necessary, to criticize their influence. But there are ways to do that without evoking nasty tropes and stereotypes.
https://washingtonmonthly.com/2019/02/13/headline-tk/
The CNN town hall from former Starbucks CEO and potential 2020 candidate Howard Schultz on Tuesday was revelatory: It showed he has no agenda beyond blaming the “extreme left†and “extreme right.â€