Anyone with a clear knowledge of the history of the Donald Trump Presidency can see that his time in office has been a great tragedy for the nation and the world.
We have never seen a President quite like this.
Andrew Johnson was a nasty, mean, vindictive human being.
Richard Nixon was a paranoid, insecure man.
Andrew Jackson was a combative person who could lose his temper very easily.
Warren G. Harding was a very ignorant man, but he also knew his own limitations.
Trump is one and only, with elements of Johnson, Nixon, Jackson, and Harding, but far worse than all four of these Presidents.
He is in process of trying to destroy the New Deal, Great Society, and the good works of Barack Obama.
He has also destroyed the stability of the international order, and consorted with totalitarian leaders, while rejecting democratic nations with long alliances and friendships with America.
He is setting the worst possible example for children of both genders, by his racism, nativism, misogyny, and constant lying nonstop.
Donald Trump has lowered the standard of the Presidency to an all time low, and will be rated the worst President ever, already having been put in that position in February of 2018 by a poll of the American Political Science Association.
He has undermined America and must be forced out of the Presidency soon, for the sake of the nation and the world!
New disapproval ratings for Trumpty Dumbty.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/aug/31/donald-trump-approval-rating-sinks-to-lowest-of-his-presidency
Following Rustbelt Democrat’s linked report, I can add the following:
“Real Clear Politics,†with the period between August 15–30, 2018, has the Generic Congressional Ballot at Democratic +8.4. (This is an aggregation of several poll reports with “RCP†reporting the average.)
Source: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html .
This is the U.S. House.
I mentioned the 2018 Democrats need to win the U.S. Popular Vote by +7 to flip the House. (A margin of +6 can do it. But, that would make it a tossup. A margin of +7 would definitely be sufficient.)
I mentioned in a previous post that, from the prior House-flipping midterm elections of 1946, 1954, 1994, 2006, and 2010, the number of seats gained with each nationally shifted percentage point was +3.59. So, think in increments of +3 to +4 for each nationally shifted percentage point. In 2016, the Republicans won the U.S. Popular Vote, for U.S. House, by +1.08. (It was 49.11% for the Republicans; 48.03% for the Democrats.)
Taking that +8.4, as if that will end up being the margin, here is the math:
(1.08) + 8.4 = 9.48 percentage points nationally shifted
3.59 seat gain increments x 9.48 percentage points nationally shifted = +34 pickups
D, that would be a general average of what number of seats would be gained historically, making it about 227 when a minimum of 218 is needed.
I hope it is more than that, however!
Ronald,
My guess is, if the 2018 Democrats win a majority pickup of the U.S. House, they will end up with a new count somewhere between 226 to 240 seats.
Yes, D, but I hope it goes over that number, as we need it to happen!
Bob Woodward Confirms That Everyone Knows Trump Isn’t Fit to Serve
https://washingtonmonthly.com/2018/09/04/bob-woodward-confirms-that-everyone-knows-trump-isnt-fit-to-serve/