Census Bureau

The Hispanic Future Of America: Danger For The Republican Party!

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New Census Bureau statistics indicate that the Hispanic population is now 50 million, one out of every six Americans, the largest minority in the United States.

Also, one out of every four children in America is Hispanic, and the largest electoral vote states, as well as smaller ones, are being impacted by the growth of Hispanic population, which bodes ill for the future of the anti immigrant, anti Hispanic Republican Party, which has been sowing hate and narrow mindedness in Arizona, Texas, Florida, Colorado, North Carolina and Georgia among other states, but which is guaranteed to reverberate on them over the next decade and beyond!

As young Hispanics become adults, the effect on politics will be massive, and right now, as it is, 60 percent of Hispanics vote Democratic, an overwhelming lead that makes it likely that Texas, in particular, will move from being a Republican state to the Democrats over time, and if that does occur, then the Republican Party will lose the 38 electoral votes of the Lone Star state, and added to California and New York remaining Democratic in presidential elections, the effect will be to make it impossible for Republicans to win the White House in future years!

So as long as the Republicans continue their assault on illegal immigration in such a vicious manner, they will sow the seeds of becoming a permanent minority in American politics, even though right now some think they are on the ascendancy.

In reality, the Republican Party is in the process of committing political suicide!

The Crisis Of The States: The Worst Is Yet To Come! :(

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With Republicans taking over the House of Representatives and many state governorships and state legislatures, the center of crisis will descend upon many of the states of the Union! 🙁

A Census Bureau report demonstrates that the Great Recession caused the loss of 30 percent of the states’ revenues in 2009, due to the high unemployment rate, the dramatic rise in foreclosures of housing, and the tremendous investment losses in the state pension funds.

The result is large budget deficits and increasing social service demands. Unemployment benefits, medicaid, and workers compensation needs became dramatically higher.

The year 2011 will be the worst ever in pressures on states, with the need to have tax increases and service cuts to deal with the largest budget deficits ever seen.

Forty states have reported a combined total of $113 billion in deficits, and the federal stimulus aid that the Obama Administration gave in the past year to avoid the loss of jobs and services in the public sector now is coming to an end. The Republicans show no interest in the suffering that will occur, that will cause many more unemployed people and horrific cuts in services, including education, health care, police and fire protection! 🙁

The only rhetoric we hear is that there must be reduction of federal spending and overcoming the federal budget deficits, as no one is thinking about the human costs that will occur across the country! 🙁

The budget gaps are particularly dramatic in California, New York and Illinois, and it will affect not just the general public in these and other states, but also the issue of state pensions and state worker employment.

So the economic crisis is far from over, and will almost certainly be reaching its peak over the next few years! 🙁

The Census Bureau Projection Of Future Population Trends: Age, Race, Ethnicity

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New Census Bureau projections show that very soon, a majority of children born in America will be from minority groups, particularly Hispanic, but also African American, Asian American, and Native American.

A majority of Americans under 18 will be minority heritage in about a decade, and a majority of the entire population in about 30 years.

So a majority of older, and elderly people will be white Anglos, who might be unwilling to pay more school taxes and do other things to support a youthful population that is alien to their own heritage and experience when they grew up in America.

This could lead to new conflict between young and old, and make for tensions beyond the ones already present of race, ethnicity, and economics.

This situation portends new issues and problems as America continues to age, being older on the average than at any time in American history! The future leaders of the nation will have this new challenge to face very soon!

Hints On The Census Effect On Reapportionment Of House Seats In 2012

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The Election Data Service in Virginia has come up with estimates of how population shifts will affect reapportionment of seats in the House of Representatives in 2012.

The estimates are based on the Census Bureau figures of July 1, 2009, which shows more than 307 million Americans.

The indications are that ten seats are likely to switch from one state to another, with the most likely scenario being that Texas will gain three seats; and all of the following states will gain one seat each: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina, Utah, and Washington.

Nine states are likely to lose seats, with Ohio losing two, and the following eight states losing one each: Louisiana, Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, Massachusetts, New York, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania.

It should be noted that all states gaining seats are in the Sun Belt, and the only Sun Belt state to lose a seat is Louisiana, certainly due largely to the effects of Hurricane Katrina in 2005. This continues the long range switch of population from the Frost Belt Northeast and Midwest to the Sun Belt South and West.

At the same time, since there is still another nine months after the Census Bureau estimate to the actual Census Bureau count, there is a potential for some other changes based on small switches in population and the level of accuracy of the census count on April 1, 2010.

Texas and Arizona could gain one extra seat each beyond the projections. And Rhode Island could become the eighth state to have only one House seat if population projections go badly. Also, California, which has always gained a seat in every census since statehood in 1850, could actually lose a seat, and is not projected to gain a seat in any case. Finally, Minnesota is in danger of losing one of its eight House seats.

The housing market downturn and the recession can certainly have an effect on the final population totals for several states. Also, the more homeless people there are makes an accurate population count ever more difficult. So the future makeup of the House of Representatives is certainly still in play!

The Census Bureau Report on Income, Poverty, And Health Care Access

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The Census Bureau report on Income, Poverty, and Health Care Access during the Bush Administration completes the historical record on a disastrous Presidency regarding these matters.

Median household income declined from 2001-2009; poverty, and particularly that regarding children increased; and the number of Americans without health insurance surged dramatically.

Under the Clinton Administration, all of these measurements improved dramatically, so the comparison really demonstrates just how disastrous the Bush Presidency was to America economically.

So to blame President Obama for the bad economy now is, of course, just political hype, as no one can expect a turn around from such drastic negatives overnight. It also makes one wonder how we can allow no substantial change in health care, and look in the mirror and say that it is acceptable to prevent change on the most crucial issue of the times we live in!