One year from February 3, a Monday in 2020, we will witness the 2020 Democratic Presidential Caucuses, the first test on the road to the Presidential nomination, as it turned out to be exactly 11 years ago on January 3, 2008, when Barack Obama won out over Hillary Clinton.
One year out, it is impossible to figure out who will be the Democratic Presidential nominee, but with the urgency that it is essential that whoever is selected is able to win the Presidency, and save the nation from a second term of Donald Trump or a succession of Mike Pence.
Within just one month, February 3 to March 3, assuredly, the field, which may start as high as 25 candidates, will be winnowed to no more than 5, and March 3, Super Tuesday, with California and Texas and a vast number of other states voting, could cut it down to no more than 3 finalists.
A prognostication, which may prove to be totally preposterous in retrospect in a year, this blogger senses that the following five will be the ultimate finalists:
Vice President Joe Biden, representing the older, establishment, experienced group of candidates and the Barack Obama legacy.
Senator Sherrod Brown of Ohio and Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota, representing the Midwest heartland, and like Biden, appeal to white working class voters.
Former San Antonio Mayor and Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Julian Castro, a Latino, and younger by months if he became President than Bill Clinton, from Texas, representing the largest minority in America in a state and section of the nation with growing potential to turn Blue in the next decade, and transform the Electoral College in favor of the Democrats long term.
Senator Kamala Harris of California, mixed race (mother from India and father from Jamaica), often called “the female Barack Obama”, representing a candidate who revolutionizes the whole election process with her presence, and if she wins California, it could propel her into front runner status.
I would sense that the Presidential-Vice Presidential team will come from this group of five, but we shall see as the next year transpires.
This topic recently occurred to me, as well, and I am not suprised Ronald is covering it with this specific blog topic.
As of February 3, 2019, and according to Wikipedia.org, and with additional information by me, the declared Election 2020 candidates from the Democratic Party are:
• Cory Booker (04.27.1969, Washington, D.C.) of New Jersey; former Mayor of Newark; junior U.S. Senator of New Jersey
• Pete Buttrieg (01.19.1982, South Bend, Indiana) of Indiana; Mayor of South Bend
• Julián Castro (09.16.1974, San Antonio, Texas) of Texas; former Mayor of San Antonio; former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development
• John Delaney (04.16.1963, Wood-Ridge, New Jersey) of Maryland; former U.S. Representative of Maryland #06
• Tulsi Gabbard (04.12.1981, Leloaloa, American Samoa) of Hawaii; U.S. Representative of Hawaii #02
• Kirsten Gillibrand (12.09.1966, Albany, New York) of New York; former U.S. Representative of New York #20; junior U.S. Senator of New York
• Kamala Harris (10.20.1964, Oakland, California) of California; junior U.S. Senator of California
• Elizabeth Warren (06.22.1949, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma) of Massachusetts; senior U.S. Senator of Massachusetts
It is still early.
Too hard for me to choose at this point.
Rump’s inaugural committee has been subpoenaed.
https://www.cnn.com/2019/02/04/politics/sdny-subpoena-trump-inauguration-committee/index.html
Rump’s schedules have been leaked. He spends most of his days in “Executive Time”, which is a euphemism for “TV time”.
https://www.axios.com/donald-trump-private-schedules-leak-executive-time-34e67fbb-3af6-48df-aefb-52e02c334255.html
‘NBC News, to Claim Russia Supports Tulsi Gabbard, Relies on Firm Just Caught Fabricating Russia Data for the Democratic Party’
By Glenn Greenwald (02.03.2019)
http://theintercept.com/2019/02/03/nbc-news-to-claim-russia-supports-tulsi-gabbard-relies-on-firm-just-caught-fabricating-russia-data-for-the-democratic-party/
NBC NEWS published a predictably viral story Friday [February 1, 2019], claiming that “experts who track websites and social media linked to Russia have seen stirrings of a possible campaign of support for Hawaii Democrat Tulsi Gabbard.â€
But the whole story was a sham: The only “expert†cited by NBC in support of its key claim was the firm New Knowledge, which just got caught by the New York Times fabricating Russian troll accounts on behalf of the Democratic Party in the Alabama Senate race to manufacture false accusations that the Kremlin was interfering in that election.
To justify its claim that Gabbard is the Kremlin’s candidate, NBC stated, “analysts at New Knowledge, the company the Senate Intelligence Committee used to track Russian activities in the 2016 election, told NBC News they’ve spotted ‘chatter’ related to Gabbard in anonymous online message boards, including those known for fomenting right-wing troll campaigns.â€
What NBC — amazingly — concealed is a fact that reveals its article to be a journalistic fraud: That same firm, New Knowledge, was caught just six weeks ago engaging in a massive scam to create fictitious Russian troll accounts on Facebook and Twitter in order to claim that the Kremlin was working to defeat Democratic Senate nominee Doug Jones in Alabama. The New York Times, when exposing the scam, quoted a New Knowledge report that boasted of its fabrications: “We orchestrated an elaborate ‘false flag’ operation that planted the idea that the [Roy] Moore campaign was amplified on social media by a Russian botnet.’â€
That fraud was overseen by New Knowledge’s CEO, Jonathon Morgan. At the same time Morgan was fabricating Russian troll accounts and using them to create a fraudulent appearance that Putin was trying to defeat the Democratic Senate candidate, he was exploiting his social media “expertise†to claim that Russians were interfering in the Alabama Senate election. In other words, Morgan used his own fake Russian accounts to lie to the public and deceive the national media into believing that Kremlin-linked accounts were trying to defeat the Democratic Senate candidate when, in fact, the accounts he was citing were ones he himself had fabricated and controlled.
…
Glenn Greenwald is a Kremlin propagandist, so, I don’t believe what he says.
Why even Glenn Greenwald and his libertarian fans should fear the Trump-Putin alliance.
https://washingtonmonthly.com/2016/12/31/even-glenn-greenwald-and-his-fans-should-fear-the-trump-putin-alliance/
I hear that Amy Klobuchar is going to announce this weekend. Beto possibly announcing at the end of the month.