Likelihood Of Trump Being 4th Shortest Presidency In American History, If He Leaves Office Before June 20, 2019

This author, scholar and blogger last year predicted that Donald Trump would not last longer than Zachary Taylor’s 492 days in office in 1849-1850, before his death.

At this point with 41 days to go until May 27, the odds of that happening now seem dim, although, with the rapidly developing Michael Cohen story; the Stormy Daniels story; and the Robert Mueller investigation moving ahead full speed, any sudden change, such as a resignation, is theoretically possible.

But even if Trump makes it beyond May 27, the odds of him being in office on June 20, 2019–29 months in office and 881 days–the equivalent of the term of President Warren G. Harding from 1921-1923 until his death–seems highly doubtful.

One has to wonder if the nation could tolerate another 14 months of Donald Trump, after the 15 month anniversary coming up on Friday, April 20.

The odds of Trump’s family members and his son in law being indicted could provoke a resignation if some kind of “deal” were to be struck to get him out of office, although the general public would expect some kind of penalty for Trump, considering his illegal, unconstitutional behavior, and the damage he has done to the institution of the American Presidency!

8 comments on “Likelihood Of Trump Being 4th Shortest Presidency In American History, If He Leaves Office Before June 20, 2019

  1. Former Republican April 18, 2018 12:26 pm

    Rachel Maddow mentioned that Devin Nunes, Bob Goodlatte and Trey Gowdy are demanding to see copies of all of the memos Comey turned over to the special prosecutor detailing meetings he had with the president. Nunes is pushing Rosenstein into a position where he has to say “No” and will be fired by Trump for lack of cooperation.

    Rachel also mentioned that Mitch McConnell won’t allow a vote on the bipartisan bill to protect Mueller.

    She said that a third thing to watch is what happens with Geoffrey Berman, the attorney for the Southern District of New York, who recused himself from the Cohen case. His interim time runs out in May, which means that Trump could then appoint someone who won’t recuse him-or-herself from the case.

    I think that the only way we are going to get rid of Trump is to change Congress or hope something bad happens to him.

  2. Pragmatic Progressive April 19, 2018 10:19 pm

    Protests are being planned in case Trump fires Mueller.

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